Oil prices rise after Gaza deaths heighten tensions

Oil futures rose Friday after a strike by Israeli forces a day earlier was said to have killed more than 100 Palestinians waiting for aid in Gaza.

President Joe Biden said the deaths would complicate talks around a cease-fire between Israel and Hamas, according to news reports. Biden had said earlier this week that he had seen prospects for an agreement as early as Monday.

Price moves

Market drivers

“The oil market traded with modest gains in the early trading session today with reports of fresh tensions in Gaza pushing up risk sentiment,” said Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson, commodity strategists at ING, in a note.

Investors are also awaiting a decision by members of OPEC+ — made up of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies — on whether to extend voluntary production cuts into the second quarter.

OPEC+ countries were considering an extension of the cuts, which amount to 2.2 million barrels a day, into the second quarter, Reuters reported earlier this week, with some officials pointing to the prospect of an extension to year-end.

“Sticking to the voluntary production cuts until the end of the year would be a strong signal and should therefore be seen as price-positive. This is because the oil market would then remain tight until year-end,” said Carsten Fritsch, commodity strategist at Commerzbank, in a note.

”An extension only into the second quarter, on the other hand, is likely to be priced in and should therefore not move prices significantly,” he wrote.

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