Economic Report: Consumer credit cools off in December after torrid growth in prior month

The numbers: Total consumer credit $18.9 billion in December, down from a torrid $38.8 billion gain in the prior month, the Federal Reserve said Monday.

Economists had been expecting a $24 billion gain, according to the Wall Street Journal forecast.

Consumer borrowing rose at a 5.4% annual rate in December down from a a revised 10.6% gain in the prior month.

Key data: Revolving credit, like credit cards, rose at a 2.4% rate in December after a 22.8% gain in the prior month. 

Nonrevolving credit, typically auto and student loans, rose 6% after a 7% growth rate in November. This category of credit is much less volatile.

The data does not include mortgage loans, which is the largest category of household debt.

Big picture: After paying down debt in 2020, consumers resumed borrowing last year with credit rising by 5.9% to $4.4 trillion.

Economists are watching consumer closely to gauge how strong the economy might be in 2022.

Sal Guatieri, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, said consumers are being pulled in two directions this year. Rising wealth and high household savings from the pandemic may bolster spending, while inflation, higher interest-rates and the suspending of extra child tax credit may limit spending.

Market reaction: Stocks
DJIA,
+0.13%

SPX,
-0.19%

were higher on Monday as investors seemed more willing to buy the dip after January’s stock market rout.

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