Futures Movers: Oil prices rally over 2% to start week as omicron fears take a breather

Crude oil prices on Monday were trading sharply higher, amid a confluence of factors that were helping to momentarily shift focus away from concerns about the omicron variant of coronavirus that causes COVID-19.

Over the weekend, Saudi Arabia increased its prices of Arab Light oil for January delivery that it sells to Asia and U.S. by up to a two-year high, according to Reuters.

The increase in prices by the de facto head of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, one of the biggest oil producers in the world, come as nuclear disarmament negotiations between Iran and the U.S., have reached an impasse, which diminish the likelihood of Tehran delivering a glut of oil to the global market in the near term.

Both developments are bullish for oil prices and suggest that demand and supply in the coming months may help support higher prices.

Oil values also have seen some stabilization as OPEC and its allies, a group known as OPEC+, last Thursday, displayed some confidence in the prospects for crude uptake, agreeing to rollover a current production policy and raise monthly overall output by 400,000 barrels per day in January, while deciding not to adjourn a key meeting to allow for further shifts in policy if needed.

Read: OPEC+ takes unusual tack by keeping existing production policy, while leaving meeting ‘in session’

Against that backdrop, West Texas Intermediate crude for January delivery
CLF22,
+2.97%

CL00,
+2.97%

was trading $1.94, or 2.9%, higher at $68.20 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after the U.S. benchmark produced a weekly loss of 2.8% on Friday.

February Brent crude
BRNG22,
+2.88%

BRN00,
+2.88%
,
the global benchmark, rose $1.98, or 2.9%, to reach $71.87 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe, following a 2.4% weekly decline for Brent, based on the front-month contract.

Both WTI and Brent have notched six straight weekly declines, marking the longest such streak since 2018.

Monday’s action “comes on the back of last week’s decision by the OPEC+ cartel to maintain the increases in production for January, despite uncertainty over demand due to the emergence of the Omicron variant,” wrote Ricardo Evangelista, senior analyst at ActivTrades, in a daily research note.

“However, today’s gains should not be interpreted as the beginning of a rally in prices, as uncertainty over the impact of the new virus variant on economic activity will cap the scope for further rises,” the analyst wrote.

Crude has been under pressure, amid the new omicron variant because it is seen as a potential hit to global demand, driving down prices.

Recent reports have cause some cause for optimism about the new strain’s potential impact on the economy. The U.S.’s top medical adviser Anthony Fauci said that omicron didn’t appear to produce a “great deal of severity” in cases, aligning with some early research that indicate that infections tend to be milder compared against other variants.

: ‘Should I visit family?’ 3 ways to stay safer against COVID-19 omicron variant during the holiday season

Is the omicron variant a game changer?

It’s too early to tell, scientists say, but it’s a timely reminder to double down on social measures to help slow the spread of COVID-19. Two years into the pandemic, COVID-19, the disease caused by the new virus SARS-CoV-2, has killed 786,964 Americans. There is a daily average of 109,822 new cases in the U.S., according to the New York Times COVID-19 tracker.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, President Joe Biden’s chief medical adviser gave a reassuring update on the omicron on CNN’s “State of the Union” over the weekend. “Thus far, it does not look like there’s a great degree of severity to it,” he said. “But we have really got to be careful before we make any determinations that it is less severe or it really doesn’t cause any severe illness, comparable to delta.”

Vaccine holdouts should be acutely aware that the virus is looking for ways to mutate and survive.

As the holiday season continues to gather momentum and people prepare to gather for Christmas, the Biden administration tightened travel measures, making it mandatory for international travelers arriving into the U.S. to have a 24-hour negative COVID-19 viral test. The federal mask mandate on public transport, and in airports and train stations, is extended through March 18.

But there are millions of vaccine holdouts. Just shy of 60% of the U.S. population —or 190 million people — are vaccinated and 23% have received a booster shot, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Research shows that Pfizer-BioNTech
PFE,
+2.32%

BNTX,
+3.17%

and Moderna
MRNA,
+1.73%

boosters offer more antibodies, but Johnson & Johnson
JNJ,
+1.46%

boosters still improve immunity.

Unvaccinated Americans should take precautions for themselves, and others. Vaccine holdouts should be acutely aware that the virus is looking for ways to mutate and survive — one route is through the unvaccinated. Unvaccinated are five times more likely to get COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated 35-64 year-olds, according to the Washington State Department of Health.

1. Get tested before a family gathering

Some people are asking, “Should I visit family?” Whether you’re worried about the delta or omicron or both, COVID-19 does not rest because you deserve a night out. “Small gathering guidance might be more appropriate for social gatherings that are more intimate with close friends and family, such as small holiday parties, family dinners, and small special celebrations,” according to the CDC.

Experts recommend testing on the day before visiting elderly parents. Prices for home testing kits typically range from $7 per test (or $14 for two) to $38.99 per test, according to KFF, a nonprofit that researches national health issues. Biden said they will be covered by health insurance, but paying for the upfront costs for these tests on a regular basis could be cost-prohibitive for many Americans.

President Joe Biden wants to make at-home COVID-19 testing kits widely available—and free — this winter as the Omicron variant emerges. “The bottom line: This winter, you will be able to test for free in the comfort of your home and have some peace of mind,” Biden said last week, unveiling a plan that also includes tighter testing timelines for international travelers entering the country.

2. Wear a face mask and social distance

Multiple studies have concluded that cloth face masks have helped reduce contagion by reducing droplets being sprayed into the air during flu season; another Japanese-based study says this works when paired with vaccination. It may also be that they work in a certain amount of cases, and/or just wearing them also helps to promote social distancing, and other healthy behaviors.

This study also says N95 medical-grade masks do help filter viruses that are larger than 0.1 micrometers (One micrometer, um, is one millionth of a meter.) The coronavirus is 0.125 um. “These products can help block large droplets expelled by the wearer, but also have been shown to have efficacy at filtering smaller particles and are designed to fit tightly to the face,” it said.

Keeping a distance of six feet or more in well-ventilated public spaces, while also wearing a mask, can help prevent the spread.

Keeping a distance of six feet or more in well-ventilated public spaces, while also wearing a mask, can also help prevent the spread of the virus. New research from scientists at the University of Cambridge, published in the journal Physics of Fluids, concluded that the six-feet rule is somewhat arbitrary, and there is no sudden drop-off point after six feet. The more space between individuals, the better.

“Even if I expel the same number of droplets every time I cough, because the flow is turbulent, there are fluctuations,” according to Professor Epaminondas Mastorakos from the university’s Department of Engineering, who led the research. “If I’m coughing, fluctuations in velocity, temperature and humidity mean that the amount someone gets at the two-meter mark can be very different each time.”

3. High-risk and unvaccinated should be extra careful

Those who are at high risk of falling seriously ill from COVID-19 should take care, especially with the emergence of the delta and omicron variants. That includes people who have respiratory illnesses such as asthma, COPD, emphysema and bronchitis; those with other immunocompromised illnesses such as HIV; people with diabetes and high blood pressure, and people over 60.

High-risk groups should definitely get a booster shot six months after their last shot, if they have already been vaccinated. In fact, before the Thanksgiving travel surge last month, the Biden administration decided to allow COVID-19 booster shots to all adults aged 18 or over, regardless of any underlying conditions, and singled out people 50 and older to get a booster shot.

Some people are steadfastly against vaccination: They don’t trust the CDC, or they hold out for religious, ideological or even political reasons. As one reader told MarketWatch about his parents: “They refuse to get vaccinated against COVID-19. Even losing our uncle to COVID has done nothing to convince them. They’ve even said they’d rather quit their jobs and lose everything than get vaccinated!”

: DoorDash jumps into ultra-fast delivery — and directly employing delivery workers

DoorDash Inc. will directly employ delivery workers for the first time as it jumps into the growing field of super-fast deliveries.

DoorDash
DASH,
-5.06%

on Monday began offering 10- to-15-minute deliveries in the New York City neighborhood of Chelsea, and will soon be followed by other launches as DoorDash seeks to mimic services offered by GoPuff and other younger rivals that are challenging the nation’s leading delivery app. Employee couriers will do the work, a different approach for a company that has spent millions fighting to continue classifying its millions of delivery workers as independent contractors.

See: The record-breaking $200 million fight to preserve the gig economy

In an interview with MarketWatch, DoorDash President Christopher Payne said the employee model makes sense for this new offering, but reiterated that the company continues to believe in the independent-contractor model for the majority of its delivery workers.

For ultra-fast delivery, “it’s a tight radius — the prep and pick time is very short,” he said. “Couriers will [also] be doing picking, stocking, customer service. That’s a difference from what we do on the Dashing side.”

DoorDash delivery workers, which the company calls Dashers, pick up food and other goods from restaurants and stores and are paid per delivery, not by the hour. Couriers for the new ultra-fast offering will be paid hourly, starting at $15 an hour, not including tips.

Payne acknowledged that “some of the Dashers we know want more work like this, they want employment. We feel like this will be a good option.”

See: How gig companies are seeking to rewrite states’ labor laws

DoorDash is joining a group of companies offering urban delivery in 15 minutes or less that includes GoPuff, Buyk, Jokr and Getir, some of which also directly employ their couriers. Instacart, the grocery-delivery app, also is considering a foray into faster deliveries, according to a recent report by the Information. Instacart said it had no comment on the report.

DoorDash will use micro-fulfillment centers it calls DashMarts as hubs for the faster deliveries. The company first opened DashMarts last year and now has 25 of them across the country, including the Chelsea DashMart. They carry more than 2,000 items, the company said, including fresh and frozen groceries, local products, snacks, and more.

For DashPass customers who pay $9.99 a month, the ultra-fast offering will have no additional cost for orders of at least $12. For non-subscribers, Payne said fees will be as low as $1.49 per delivery, highlighting affordability as one of the main reasons DoorDash is confident it can stand out in a field that’s growing more crowded every day.

In-depth: The pandemic has more than doubled food-delivery apps’ business. Now what?

A new DoorDash business called DashCorps employs the couriers directly and is in the process of hiring more couriers — some of them former Dashers, according to the company — for future ultra-fast delivery locations that will be announced in the coming weeks and months, the company said.

A mix of 60 part-time and full-time employees per location will have a set schedule and be eligible for some benefits, and those who work at least 30 hours a week will be eligible for health benefits, a company spokeswoman said.

In addition, DoorDash couriers will be provided with Zoomo e-bikes, unlike Dashers, who use their own transportation. Eventually, Payne said the company intends to have those couriers — who will be using a new, specific app — deliver goods from other merchant partners, such as bodegas and other grocery stores.

DoorDash stock has risen about 11% year to date, while the S&P 500 Index
SPX,
-0.84%

is about 21% higher so far this year.

Financial News: U.K. drugmaker to be taken public in €1.5 billion SPAC deal

Investment banking brothers, Michael and Yoël Zaoui, are set to take a UK start-up that uses artificial intelligence to develop drugs public through their blank-cheque company unveiled in June.

Odyssey Acquisition
ODYSY,
+2.03%
,
the Zaoui’s €300m special purpose acquisition company, will combine with BenevolentAI in a deal that values the company at €1.5bn, according to a statement from the firm.

The dealmaking duo, who previously held senior roles at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley before launching their own boutique advisory firm in 2013, unveiled plans for Odyssey earlier this year, stating that it would target high-growth healthcare and technology companies and list on the Amsterdam stock exchange, which has so far been at the centre of European Spac activity.

BenevolentAI uses technology in the discovery of new drugs and has around 300 scientists and technologists working at the firm, which was established in 2013.

Michael Zaoui said in a statement that Odyssey was established to bring European healthcare and technology companies to the capital markets and that BenevolentAI is at the “convergence of these two sectors”.

Michael Zaoui serves as chair of Odyssey, with Yoël co-chief executive alongside former Natixis investment management boss Jean Raby.

Spac IPOs worth a combined $3.6bn have been raised in the Amsterdam exchange so far this year, according to data provider Dealogic, far ahead of other European cities. The UK has lagged other markets, but recent changes to listing rules are expected to result in more Spacs choosing London.

A £150m Spac from technology-focused venture capital firm, Hambro Perks, in November was the first such listing since the review of UK capital markets by Lord Hill earlier this year. Before this, just $432m was raised by Spacs in the UK in 2021.

Goldman Sachs advised BenevolentAI on the deal, while JPMorgan worked with the Zaoui’s Odyssey Acquisition firm. The two banks have pulled away from rivals at the top of the Spac IPO advisory rankings this year, according to Dealogic.

This story originally appeared at FNLondon.com

Bond Report: Long-dated Treasury rates rise, bouncing off Friday’s lows

Yields for U.S. government debt were on the rise Monday morning, after the 10 and 30-year Treasurys last week fell to the lowest rates in months, amid market unrest fueled by the emergent omicron variant of the coronavirus that causes COVID-19.

Thus far, early reports on the new COVID strain, however, suggest that it is milder, compared against the Delta variant.  

What are yields doing?
  • The 10-year Treasury note
    TMUBMUSD10Y,
    1.391%

    yields 1.394%, up from 1.342% at 3 p.m. Eastern Time on Friday, which was its lowest rate since Sept. 22.

  • The 2-year Treasury note
    TMUBMUSD02Y,
    0.623%

    rate stands at 0.623%, up from 0.589% at the end of last week.

  • The 30-year Treasury bond’s yield
    TMUBMUSD30Y,
    1.716%

    was at 1.721%, gaining from 1.675% on Friday afternoon, when it touched its lowest yield since Jan. 4.

What’s driving the market?

Concerns about omicron have driven long-dated yields lower but the compression of the Treasury curve, the differential between long-dated yields and shorter-dated ones, has continued to reflect concerns about the longer-term outlook for the economy as it tries to claw back from the COVID pandemic.

A more hawkish Fed has, however, been central to the shift in sentiment across Wall Street.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and other members of the central bank’s rate-setting committee have suggested, surprising markets, that a faster tapering of the central bank’s monthly asset purchases could be warranted to combat rising intensifying pricing pressures.

Concerns about the Fed making a tactical error in its newfound war against punchy inflation, which could result in the economy falling into a recession, remains one of the chief fears of bearish investors. The Fed is currently in a media blackout until the conclusion of its two-day policy gathering on Dec. 15.

Meanwhile, the U.S.’s top medical adviser Anthony Fauci said that omicron didn’t appear to produce a “great deal of severity” in cases. Questions remain about the effectiveness of the vaccines against omicron, given the number of mutations on the variant’s spike protein, the principal target of most vaccines.

Reports from South Africa, where the strain was first identified and is becoming the dominant strain, suggest that hospitalization rates haven’t increased alarmingly, according to the Associated Press.

Markets wobbled on Friday as the November nonfarm payrolls report showed a weaker-than-expected 210,000 jobs created in the month. The report was viewed as unlikely to knock the central bank from its more hawkish stance because the it contained sufficient pockets of strength to warrant tapering, setting the stage for eventual rate hikes in 2022.

The Fed and markets will likely fixate on one last piece of data before next week’s meeting of the rate-settting Federal Open Market Committee, or FOMC. A consumer price inflation report is due Friday that could draw Wall Street’s attention.

A rebound in oil prices may shift the near-term outlook for inflation, however, with West Texas Intermediate oil
CL.1,
+3.14%
,
the U.S. benchmark grade, trading more than 3% higher to start the week. Crude has been under pressure, amid the new variant because it is seen as a potential hit to global demand, driving down prices.

Oil values steadied somewhat as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies last Thursday, display some confidence in the prospects for crude, agreeing to rollover a current production policy and raise monthly overall output by 400,000 barrels per day in January, while deciding not to adjourn a key meeting to allow for further shifts in policy if needed.

What strategists are saying

“Markets are in a tough spot, and not coincidental so too is the Fed. The unavoidable tightening of financial conditions with a closing window to get out. Or at least try for the Fed,” wrote Gregory Faranello, head of U.S. rates at AmeriVet Securities, in a Monday note.

Europe Markets: Food delivery companies crushed again on worries over EU rules

The food delivery sector was crushed again on Monday, on expectations the European Commission will mandate new rules that will see workers treated as employees rather than contractors.

Deliveroo
ROO,
-6.67%

fell 8%, as Delivery Hero
DHER,
-6.69%

and Just Eat Takeaway.com
TKWY,
-5.80%

GRUB,
-4.29%

each fell 6%.

Analysts at Citi said Deliveroo would be most impacted by the rule proposal, which the Financial Times reported could be as announced as early as Wednesday. They said Deliveroo’s gross profit would be hit by between 12% and 18%. Delivery Hero’s limited European exposure implied a profit hit of 2% and 3%, and a majority of Just Takeaway’s European riders are already employed, the analysts added.

The broader Stoxx Europe 600
SXXP,
+0.65%

was trading higher on Monday, as oil price gains buoyed energy producers including TotalEnergies
TTE,
+2.78%

and Royal Dutch Shell
RDSB,
+2.31%
.

5% dividend yield! A small-cap stock I’d buy in December

Small-cap stocks can be quite a risky addition to any portfolio. These businesses typically have far less access to external capital, and their size can make it difficult to compete against larger competitors. This is why many companies in this category struggle.

But, every so often, a gem emerges from a sea of mediocrity. And if I can identify them early, then the returns can be explosive. With that in mind, I’ve spotted one small-cap stock that might just fit the bill. Let’s take a look at Somero Enterprises (LSE:SOM).

5 Stocks For Trying To Build Wealth After 50

Markets around the world are reeling from the coronavirus pandemic… and with so many great companies trading at what look to be ‘discount-bin’ prices, now could be the time for savvy investors to snap up some potential bargains.

But whether you’re a newbie investor or a seasoned pro, deciding which stocks to add to your shopping list can be a daunting prospect during such unprecedented times.

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Automation in the construction industry

Somero is a designer and producer of screed machines operating primarily in the US. These are specialised pieces of equipment that allow construction companies to lay smooth concrete surfaces for structures such as car parks, hospitals and warehouses.

Concrete is far from the most exciting business out there. But it remains a central piece of the global construction industry. What’s more, by using this group’s technology, the final result is significantly higher quality than traditional methods can achieve.

And, more importantly, it requires far less manpower. For example, Kent Companies, a leading concrete contractor in the US, cut its construction team size by nearly half on some projects, while simultaneously reducing completion times.

With e-commerce driving enormous demand for warehousing, and US president Joe Biden committing $2trn to America’s infrastructure, the group looks like it’s ready to enjoy some significant tailwinds. And this may have already started.

Looking at the latest interim results, revenue for the first six months of 2021 came in at $64.4m. That’s around 65% higher versus pre-pandemic levels. And when it comes to operating profits, the performance is even more impressive, jumping from $10m to $23m over the same two-year period.

Combining all this with a near-5% dividend yield, I’m hardly surprised to see the small-cap stock climbing nearly 70% over the last 12 months.

Nothing is risk-free

Business may be booming with further growth on the horizon, but Somero is far from risk-free, especially when it comes to the weather issues. Pouring and laying concrete in the rain compromises its strength and can lead to serious structural problems. Therefore, prolonged periods of bad weather can cause significant disruptions in the revenue stream.

That may seem like an unlikely threat. But in 2019, that’s precisely what happened. The year saw some of the worst storms in America’s history, with extreme cold snaps and heavy rainfall throughout. And with climate change becoming an ever-increasing threat, I think it’s inevitable to see more extreme weather patterns in the future, disrupting the revenue stream once again.

A small-cap stock worth buying?

Also, the firm isn’t short of competition. But its technology appears to be far superior, allowing the group to control a much larger portion of the market share. And with a wide range of machines to meet the varying budgets of its customers, I don’t think this will change anytime soon.

The risk of weather-based revenue disruption is quite concerning. However, management retains a sizable cash position to ensure that all obligations can be met during these disruptive periods. As such, I think the risk is worth the potential reward.

Therefore, I’m keen to increase my existing position in this small-cap stock before the end of the year.

But it’s not the only growth opportunity that has caught my attention this week…

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  • Since 2016, annual revenues increased 31%
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Zaven Boyrazian owns shares of Somero Enterprises. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Somero Enterprises. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Inflation is sky-rocketing. How I am positioning my portfolio to weather the impending storm

The inflation genie is definitely out of the bottle. In the UK, figures from the ONS showed that CPI hit 4.2% in October up from 3.1% the month before. In the Euro Zone, the monthly increase was 0.5% to stand at 4.1%. And in the US, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), rose 0.4% to 4.1% in October. With figures like this, it is little wonder that the Fed chair Jerome Powell has finally ditched the notion that had been bandied around for some time that inflation was a mere “transitory” phenomenon.

The causes of inflation

The reason why inflation is increasing can be boiled down to a number of themes:

5 Stocks For Trying To Build Wealth After 50

Markets around the world are reeling from the coronavirus pandemic… and with so many great companies trading at what look to be ‘discount-bin’ prices, now could be the time for savvy investors to snap up some potential bargains.

But whether you’re a newbie investor or a seasoned pro, deciding which stocks to add to your shopping list can be a daunting prospect during such unprecedented times.

Fortunately, The Motley Fool UK analyst team have short-listed five companies that they believe STILL boast significant long-term growth prospects despite the global upheaval…

We’re sharing the names in a special FREE investing report that you can download today. And if you’re 50 or over, we believe these stocks could be a great fit for any well-diversified portfolio.

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  • Record money printing by central banks to prop up their economies following the Covid-19 crash. This has led to the suppression of interest rates;
  • A sudden spike on the demand side, as individuals have hoarded record amounts of cash (and paid down debt) after prolonged lockdowns;
  • Cost-push factors. As economies have reopened, supply chains has been ill-equipped to deal with the sudden spike in demand. This has led to exponential increases in raw materials, energy, and shipping costs. This has been compounded by increasing labour costs as businesses have struggled to entice people back to do jobs at pre-pandemic pay rates.

Which sectors are likely to be the winners in a prolonged inflationary environment?

Sentiment remains bullish for growth stocks and long duration equities, most notably the FAANGs but also software companies in general. It isn’t hard to see why. Covid-19 forced businesses to accelerate their IT spending to move to the cloud, and to improve security to support remote working. A trend that many believe, including myself, is here to stay. But when you project these growth trends into the extreme future (the very essence of a long duration equity) then support for the record valuations placed on such companies becomes a lot more tenuous.

If we are indeed entering a stagflationary environment (one characterised by slow growth coupled with rising inflation) then I see the potential for significant downside amongst such stocks. We may already be seeing the beginning of the unravelling of the largest bubble in history. DocuSign crashed 42% on Friday after the company’s reported guidance fell short of expectations. Amazon recently reported a slump in profits, citing some of the very reasons I called out above. The Darktrace share price has fallen 50% recently, but still commands a premium of 10x revenue, despite still being a loss-making business.

History has shown that in periods of rising inflation certain assets tend to do well. During the inflationary recession of 1973-74, the Nifty 50 (the growth stocks of the day) declined 50%. Similarly, during the tech bust, the Nasdaq composite fell 78%. Both eras marked the beginning of a secular bull market for precious metals.

Investing in individual gold and silver miners is risky and not for everyone. However, there are plenty of ways to get exposure to the yellow metal other than physically buying the commodity. There are several gold-backed ETFs that track its spot price as well as those that buy a basket of precious metal mining stocks.

Inflation Is Coming: 3 Shares To Try And Hedge Against Rising Prices

Make no mistake… inflation is coming.

Some people are running scared, but there’s one thing we believe we should avoid doing at all costs when inflation hits… and that’s doing nothing.

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Andrew Mackie has no position in any of the shares mentioned. John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Amazon and DocuSign. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

What you should spend your Christmas bonus on

Image source: Getty Images


Christmas is a time of goodwill, and it’s become a tradition for employers to throw away the ‘bah humbug’ and dip into their pockets to reward their workers for a job well done throughout the year. So if your boss is more a Christmas Carole and less of a Charles Dickens, then what exactly should you do with it?

One of the toughest things to know is where to start. So first things first, as a broad principle you could start with the 80-20 rule. Or in other words, £8 in any £10 received should be put towards your financial future. Which means if you receive the average year-end bonus of £1,600 then you’d be looking at £1,280 to be sensible with.

Cover the Ghost of Christmas Present

So now that you know how much we’re talking about, what’s the first thing you should do? Well, if you don’t have an “emergency fund” then I suggest you start there. At an absolute minimum you should be looking to have 3 months of living expenses held in a short-term deposit account that you could get your hands on quickly if life throws something unexpected at you. Ideally, that would be 6 months. So if your monthly outgoings were £1,000 then you’d be looking at between £3,000 and £6,000 in your emergency fund.

Don’t forget about Ghosts of Christmas Past

If you’ve already got that one covered, then the next thing you should be looking at is paying down any debts you have. If you’ve got any credit card debt, then it’s a very smart idea to look at that as money you’ve already spent your bonus on and to pay that off. That’s especially true if you’re only paying the minimum amount on your credit card every month. While we’re on the subject of credit cards, you could look at using part of your bonus to pay for a “balance transfer”, where your credit card debt is moved to another card provider. Depending on your circumstances, you could even transfer to a 0% interest card, which would mean every £1 you paid off would go to reducing your debt rather than paying the bank interest.

Paying down debt doesn’t just mean credit cards. If you’ve got a mortgage, you could overpay on that too and potentially get a benefit. If you’re thinking about this, it’s worth speaking to your mortgage provider as not all mortgages are created equal and there may be penalties associated.

Look to the Ghosts of Christmas Yet to Come

The other option is to look to invest your money to hopefully bag an even bigger windfall in the future. One of the least considered ways to do this is to put that into your pension. This is especially effective if you’re a higher rate taxpayer. Chances are the tax relief you’d receive will make the ‘bonus’ even bigger, and the further away from retirement you are the bigger difference that would make to you. Think of it as giving yourself a much, much larger bonus when you retire.

The alternative is to think about investing in an Index Tracker. If you’re not used your ISA for this year, it’s a great way to invest and avoid paying any tax on the gains. If you’ve never bought stocks and shares before, it’s one of the better ways of dipping your toe into the market.

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The Wickes share price just surged 11%. Is it now a buy?

The Wickes (LSE: WIX) share price rallied 11% on Friday after the company released a trading update for its fourth quarter. This made the stock the best performer in the lesser-known FTSE Small Cap index.

Wickes is a fairly new listing on the London Stock Exchange after it completed a demerger from Travis Perkins back in April. The share price hit a high of 288p on the first day of trading, but has drifted lower since. Before the update on Friday, the share price had dipped to 215p.

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Has the trading update marked a turning point for the stock? Let’s take a look to see if it’s a buy for my portfolio.

Wickes and a demerger

Wickes is a major home improvement retailer in the UK. It describes itself as a digitally-led and service-enabled company that offers customers choice, convenience and value. Over recent years, it has rebalanced its business to service three types of customers it defines as: “Local Trade, Do-It-For-Me and DIY retail.

When Wickes listed on the London Stock Exchange as a spin-off from Travis Perkins, it didn’t raise any new capital as part of the listing. Travis Perkins shareholders received shares in the newly listed firm, and had the option to either retain these shares, or sell them once trading began. This can sometimes place downward pressure on the share price of a spun-off company as shareholders opt to sell the shares and retain the original company in their portfolios.

The share price surges

It’s easy to see why the share price rallied on Friday. The company said trading has been resilient and raised its outlook for profit in fiscal/calendar year 2021. Revenue was actually in line with expectations, but margin performance was strong, which led to the upgrade in profit guidance.

I view this as a particularly good performance given the supply chain issues that most businesses are experiencing today. It signals that management is able to navigate supplier relationships very well, and that its business model is adaptive to these risks.

Is Wickes stock a buy?

I view the recent listing positively. Sometimes new companies that list via IPO have short histories, or require equity capital to invest for growth. This increases the risk of outright loss for a potential shareholder. However, Wickes is profitable with a longstanding history, which does de-risk the investment in my view.

There are still risks to consider though. For a start, there’s no guarantee that the management team will be able to mitigate supply chain issues indefinitely. Then, any slowdown in the UK economy will likely reduce demand for home improvement supplies.

However, I think the recent weakness in the Wickes share price reflects the selling pressure after the spin-off completed. The valuation looks compelling now as the shares are priced on a forward price-to-earnings ratio of only 10. I’ll be looking to add Wickes shares to my portfolio.

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Right now, this ‘screaming BUY’ stock is trading at a steep discount from its IPO price, but it looks like the sky is the limit in the years ahead.

Because this North American company is the clear leader in its field which is estimated to be worth US$261 BILLION by 2025.

The Motley Fool UK analyst team has just published a comprehensive report that shows you exactly why we believe it has so much upside potential.

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Dan Appleby owns shares of London Stock Exchange Group. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

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