I ended up worse off after my pay rise – here’s why

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Recently, I received a pay rise at work. While this was undoubtedly cause for celebration, I don’t feel I’m reaping the benefits as much as I would expect to be. Recent research is suggesting I am not alone in feeling like this. Here’s why.

Why my pay rise didn’t feel like a pay rise

I was lucky enough to be given a 12% pay rise. This is a substantial increase in my monthly pay. But my bank balance is not looking any healthier for it.

In between rising energy costs, fuel price increases and food price hikes, it feels as if the extra money is being eaten up before I get a chance to enjoy it.

Filling up my car with petrol now costs me £57. It never used to cost me more than £45. This means the cost of fuel alone has gone up by 27%.

Meanwhile, I’m seeing the cost of my food shop creep up on an almost weekly basis. Each increase may be negligible – 50p here or there – but added up over time, it is starting to make a real dent in my budget.

Of course, I am better off than if I hadn’t had the pay rise. If I had remained on the same pay scale, I would be feeling the price increases far more acutely than I am now.

However, I have no more money left over each month after all my expenses have been paid than I did before my pay rise. If anything, I have less money available to save or invest.

How other people are coping

It seems I am not alone in ending up with less money each month – with or without a pay rise.

According to a recent report from the Office for National Statistics, two-thirds of people (65%) say their cost of living has risen in the past month. 

The most common reasons people gave for the rise was an increase in the cost of groceries (87%), an increase in energy bills (77%) and an increase in fuel costs (76%).

Electricity and gas prices increased by 8.7% and 17.1% respectively during November, and they’ve gone up 18.8% and 28.1% in the last year.

At the moment, people are doing a good job of managing these higher costs. Only 16% said they had to borrow more money or use more credit than usual in the last month. This is actually down from 18% in October this year.

What the experts have to say

Sarah Coles, senior personal finance analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, says: “The spending squeeze is crushing two in three people.”

She explains middle-aged people are feeling the pressure as they tend to have more people living in their homes, meaning more mouths to feed: “It’s far harder to keep costs under control when there are more people making more decisions that affect their energy use.

She goes on, “If you have children at home who take ages in the shower, leave doors open and insist on higher temperatures, the costs quickly mount.”

Coles also warns that “in many cases, the full impact hasn’t hit yet.” She explains that those who are on fixed-rate energy deals have been protected from the rises so far. While those on variable deals have protection from the energy price cap.

She explains, “The full impact of the price rises will only really be felt in April when the energy price cap rises. At that stage, the spending squeeze is going to be even more painful for millions of us.”

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Why I’m hoping that 2022 will be strong for this FTSE 100 exchange traded fund

I’m largely optimistic about the FTSE 100 going into 2022. The UK has one of the largest economies in the world and one of the highest Covid vaccination rates. In October, the IMF projected that UK economic growth would be 5% in 2022, which is among the highest in the developed world. This sets the backdrop for what could be a good year for the FTSE 100.

The flagship UK market index has underperformed many others in the developed world. However, with a low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio and good dividend yield, 2022 might be time for the Footsie to surge.

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Within the FTSE 100 there’s exposure to some world-class companies across several sectors. I think in particular pharmaceuticals and energy are likely to see a boost next year. For example, GlaxoSmithKline has had a good year in 2021. It is up around 15% year-to-date and 13% year-on-year. 

BP has had a strong year too, seeing a rise in its stock of over 36% and 27% year-on-year. I can see oil prices rising in 2022, which could lead to a further uptick in BP’s shares.

The ETF

I like these shares, but I’m aware that individual stock picks always come with risk. For my portfolio, I prefer to diversify to try to reduce that risk and invest in the FTSE 100 via an exchange traded fund (ETF). An ETF is a fund that tracks an index or sector, is usually low-cost and can be bought and sold like a share through most online brokers.

Most, if not all, of the major investment companies offer a FTSE 100 ETF and I’m spoilt for choice. I look at making my choice based on three factors: fund size, expense ratio and whether I want dividends or not.

The fund I’m interested in is iShares FTSE 100 (LSE:ISF). By size, it’s the biggest,at over £10bn and it’s the cheapest too, with an ongoing charge of 0.07%.

Although there’s a choice of whether to have an accumulation option (where my dividends are reinvested) or a dividend-paying option with this ETF, I prefer the income stream of the latter. Currently, the yield is 3.71%.

It’s also worth mentioning that this fund is consistently one of the most popular ETFs by trading volume in the UK. 

The risks

There will continue to be lots of risks in financial markets in 2022. A new Covid variant could easily cause a downturn as we briefly saw with the Omicron variant. A rise in interest rates could be a further catalyst for a crash.

Also, by investing in iShares FTSE 100, I’ll only get the market performance of the index, rather than the chance to outperform the market by picking individual stocks.

However, I hope that if I include this exchange traded fund in my holdings as part of a balanced portfolio, I can get good rewards next year. 

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Is Cathie Wood’s ARKK fund washed up or ready to roar again?

As a veteran investor, I rarely invest in collective funds. Instead, I make my own asset allocation decisions and pick my own stocks. However, since spring 2020, I’ve kept a close eye on one particular US exchange-traded fund (ETF). An ETF is a collective investment with listed shares that trade just like other stocks. This fascinating ETF is the ARK Innovation ETF (NYSE: ARKK), run by Cathie Wood, ARK Investment Management’s star fund manager. But the ARKK unit price has taken a nasty turn since mid-February. So, is Cathie Wood’s star fading, or is it set to skyrocket again?

The rise and rise of Cathie Wood

Since launching on 30 October 2014, New York-listed Ark Innovation ETF has been managed for over seven years by Cathie Wood. Wood invests in high-tech firms that offer ‘disruptive innovation’. These include pioneers in DNA sequencing and genomics, automation and robotics, green energy, artificial intelligence, and fintech (financial technology). Hence, her top 10 holdings include many of the US’s most exciting tech prospects, dominated by #1 holding Tesla.

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In recent years, Cathie Wood has delivered enormous returns to ARKK shareholders. Since its launch, ARKK units have almost quintupled in value, rising 390%. Over five years, the ETF is also up 390%, while it has soared by 140% over the past three years. However, after an excellent start to 2021, ARKK has declined steeply over the past 10 months.

ARKK sinks

On 19 February 2020, before Covid-19 crashed global markets, ARKK’s unit price hit $60.37. It then collapsed and, by 18 March 2020, stood at $34.69 — down 42.5% in a month. But then the unit price went absolutely nuts, ending 2020 at $124.49. At first, this massive surge from spring 2020’s lows continued into 2021. On 16 February, ARKK’s unit price hit its all-time intra-day high of $159.70. That’s 4.6 times its 2020 low, an unbelievable return of 360% in 11 months. Wow.

However, this stratospheric ETF has since come plunging back to earth. As I write, it stands at $100.93, down almost $59 from its February peak. That’s a collapse of almost two-fifths (-36.8%) in under 10 months. So, has Cathie Wood turned into Cathie Woodford, or would I back her inspiring vision today?

Why this ETF is not for me

I don’t own any ARKK units and I wouldn’t buy at current price levels. Why? Simply because the ETF doesn’t fit my risk profile as an older, income-seeking investor. This ETF is aimed at growth investors with a high tolerance for risk and volatility.

Also, although this fund has net assets of almost $21.4bn, it remains highly concentrated. Although Cathie Wood aims to have 35-55 stocks in her fund, the top 10 account for more than half (51.5%) of total assets. Furthermore, as these major holdings are almost all US tech/growth stocks, the fund has a high degree of correlation risk. In other words, its holdings often move in sync. That helps to explain why the fund is down almost a fifth (-18.8%) this calendar year. Lastly, most of AARK’s holdings are unprofitable companies promising ‘jam tomorrow’. And with interest rates poised to rise next year, that model could be a problem for ARKK investors.

Then again, I could be wrong. With such an intensive portfolio, Cathie Wood and ARKK might conceivably bounce back. For example, if euphoria were to return to markets, driving tech stocks ‘to the moon’ (via higher valuations) again. Still, whatever happens, I expect ARKK to be similarly volatile in 2022!

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: Republican lawmakers embrace crypto as ‘Web 3.0,’ Democrats worry over investor protection in digital asset hearing

A partisan divide over regulation of cryptocurrencies was on display Wednesday on Capitol Hill, when members of the House Financial Services Committee questioned the leaders of some of the nation’s largest digital asset firms in a hearing.

Democrats’ questions focused on what they called a lack of investor protection in markets for digital assets and the potential for volatility in crypto markets to destabilize the broader economy, while Republicans focused on the technology’s potential to lower costs for financial services and create a decentralized internet that shifts power from big tech firms to everyday Americans.

“Currently, cryptocurrency markets have no overarching or centralized regulatory framework, leaving investments in the digital assets space vulnerable to fraud manipulation and abuse,” said Rep. Maxine Waters of California, the Democratic chairwoman of the financial services panel.

Waters also raised concerns over the impact of cryptocurrencies on the environment, saying that “the computing power needed to mine some of the coins…can rival the energy needs of entire countries like Sweden or Argentina.”

Republicans focused on the idea that the distributed-ledger technology that enables the functioning of cryptocurrencies like bitcoin
BTCUSD,
-0.52%

and ether
ETHUSD,
+2.05%

could usher in the age of so-called Web 3.0, or an internet where networks will operate through decentralized protocols, rather than through centralized institutions like Facebook
FB,
+2.80%

or Google
GOOG,
+0.10%
.

Brian Brooks, former acting comptroller of the currency and CEO of crypto company Bitfury, described the early version of the internet as “a curated walled garden” featuring “a set of content that was not interactive.” That was followed by ‘Web 2.0’ defined by social networks that relied on and enabled users to create their own content.

“What makes Web 3.0 different is the ability to own the actual network, and that’s what crypto assets themselves represent,” he said.

Republicans also argued that most cryptocurrency companies are already heavily regulated by a patchwork of state and federal agencies, a point that  Sam Bankman-Fried, CEO of crypto exchange FTX and Coinbase Global
COIN,
-0.56%

CFO Alesia Hass made in their opening remarks.

“I want to be clear that this technology is already regulated,” said Rep. Patrick McHenry of North Carolina, the ranking Republican on the committee. Though “the regulations may be clunky and they may not be up to date,” he added, he warned his colleagues against further regulating the industry “out of the fear of the unknown.”

The Securities and Exchange Commission is currently considered enforcement actions against crypto exchanges that do not register with the agency as a securities exchange, according to recent comments by Chairman Gary Gensler.

Coinbase’s Hass pushed back on these threats, telling lawmakers that her company engages in a “robust assessment” of each of the assets it sells on its platform, to make sure that none meet the definition of a security under federal law. If an exchange offers securities, it must register with the SEC.

Witnesses also criticized a recent report on stablecoins issued by the President’s Working Group on Financial Markets, which recommended that Congress pass legislation requiring that stablecoins be issued by a federal regulated bank.

“The report raises legitimate risks, but its recommended solutions go too far,” said Danelle Dixon, CEO of Steller Development Foundation, which maintains the distributed network that issues the cryptocurrency lumens
XLMUSD,
+3.76%
.
“Instead, we advocate for a regulatory approach that focuses more on stablecoin reserves by requiring stable coin arrangements be fully reserved by appropriate assets.”

Stablecoins are a type of digital asset that attempts to maintain a one-to-one peg with the U.S. dollar
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-0.48%
,
and are used by crypto traders to store unused funds. Advocates for the technology say it will become a major means of payment for goods and services outside the crypto world, because it’s a cheaper and more efficient means of payment than traditional financial services companies offer.

The Ratings Game: Honeywell stock leads the Dow’s losers after BofA analyst backs away from bullish stance

Shares of Honeywell International Inc. took a hit Wednesday, after BofA Securities analyst Andrew Obin said he no longer recommended investors buy, citing expectations that inflation and supply-chain headwinds will continue into next year.

Obin downgraded the diversified industrial company to neutral from buy. He also cut his stock price target to $245 from $270.

Honeywell’s stock
HON,
-1.56%

fell 1.6% in midday trading. It had bounced 2.7% over the previous four sessions, since closing on Dec. 1 at a 10-month low of $199.42.

The stock’s price decline of $3.29 shaved about 22 points off the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s
DJIA,
-0.23%

price, while the Dow declined 84 points, or 0.2%.

BofA’s Obin said “there is a lot to like” about Honeywell, as recent investments have shifted the company business toward higher growth and margins, but he believes the company is likely to face revenue and margin pressures into the first half of 2022.

Honeywell Chief Financial Officer Gregory Lewis said at the company’s “Leadership Webcast Series” last month that fourth-quarter revenue was trending to the low-to-middle end of expectations given the “severity of the constraints” in the economy from parts shortages and logistics and labor challenges, according to a FactSet transcript.

And while the company was doing what it could to alleviate the challenges, including raising prices and compensation, Lewis said it was “going to be a real fight.”

“It’s going to be with us for a while,” Lewis said. “It’s really hard to say whether we’re seeing the peak right now, but I would say to just kind of reiterate, I think we’re going to see some of these challenges going into the first half of next year.”

He highlighted, however, that “demand is not the issue,” it’s meeting that demand.

BofA’s Obin said given the near-term headwinds, he believes the scope for upward earnings revisions and valuation multiple expansion is limited.

“We believe [Honeywell] is a high-performing multi-industrial, with the sum worth more than the parts,” Obin wrote in a research note to clients. “However, our sum-of-the-parts analysis does not support further multiple expansion in the near term.”

The stock has slumped 9.2% over the past three months, while the SPDR Industrial Select Sector exchange-traded fund
XLI,
+0.03%

has tacked on 2.1% and the Dow has gained 1.7%.

Market Extra: Grayscale Investment wants its largest bitcoin trust to be an ETF. A miscue briefly made its wish come true.

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, arguably, the granddaddy of crypto funds, fulfilled a long-held ambition: it became a exchange-traded fund—at least by name.

Since at least Monday, FactSet System Inc.
FDS,
+0.23%

had listed crypto-focused asset manager Grayscale Investment’s Bitcoin Trust
GBTC,
+0.07%

as Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF on its platform used by professional investors and other Wall Street clients, including Dow Jones.

Here is how Grayscale was listed on FactSet on Monday and for much of the early part of this week, at least.


FactSet screenshot

Here is how it appeared in a watch list on FactSet’s database.


FactSet

However, the Grayscale fund, the largest bitcoin investment vehicle on the planet, which boasts a roughly $27 billion market value as of Tuesday’s close, isn’t an ETF—far from it. ETFs can be bought and sold like stocks and offer transparent pricing.

A FactSet spokeswoman says that the error with naming GBTC, referring to the bitcoin trust’s ticker symbol, has since been corrected. It isn’t clear how the snafu happened.

A representative for Grayscale declined to comment specifically on the naming error but said that while the company “has filed to convert GBTC into a Bitcoin Spot ETF, the application is under review until July 2022.”

Grayscale, a subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, is a pioneer in digital-asset management and its Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, a closed-end fund, has been publicly listed since 2013. At one point, it was one of the few ways for traditional investors to credibly gain exposure to the world’s No.1 digital asset: bitcoin.

Bitcoin, a decentralized digital currency, created by a person or persons known as Satoshi Nakamoto in 2009 and its crypto brethren, such as Ether
ETHUSD,
+2.76%

on the Ethereum blockchain, are starting to gain traction as a bona fide asset class, albeit a tremendously volatile one, in some circles on Wall Street.

Grayscale officially submitted an application on Oct. 19 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to convert its fund into an ETF. The submission came at the same time the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF
BITO,
-0.12%

launched its bitcoin futures linked offering, becoming the first bitcoin-pegged ETF to make its debut in U.S. markets. Since that time, two other bitcoin related funds have emerged: Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy ETF
BTF,

and VanEck Bitcoin Strategy ETF
XBTF,
-0.22%
.

The reasons for Grayscale’s ETF ambitions are clear. It wants to maintain its dominance as an asset manager against rivals. Converting into an ETF, if it can pass muster with the SEC, would allow it to achieve that goal and maintain, and even grow, its assets under management.

The regulatory hurdles, however, seem somewhat high, at least in the near term.

SEC Chairman Gary Gensler has indicated an unwillingness to approve an ETF with direct ownership of bitcoin, which is Grayscale’s aim, and has so far preferred backing futures-linked bitcoin products because he says they offer better consumer guardrails.

Read: A ‘spot’ bitcoin ETF ‘ain’t so great’, says ProShares strategist ahead of provider’s futures-linked fund

There is a host of criticisms against a bitcoin futures ETF, including the costs of rolling the fund into new monthly futures contracts that underpin the fund, as well as issues tied to paying more because futures contracts for the crypto can be valued more richly for deliver in future months than for current prices for physical bitcoin.

Still, Grayscale isn’t backing down from its aspirations. It is aiming to create a bitcoin ETF similar to the SPDR Gold Shares
GLD,
-0.10%
,
which is settled in physical gold rather than futures contracts to more accurately track the price of the commodity.

Grayscale recently issued a letter late last month challenging the SEC’s recent rejection of a prospective VanEck spot bitcoin ETF, arguing that the regulator has “no basis for the position that investing in the derivatives market for an asset is acceptable for investors while investing in the asset itself is not.”

In any case, the mislabeling of Grayscale’s premiere bitcoin fund on FactSet’s platform was an odd occurrence and raised some eyebrows among market participants.

“I think it is an interesting story given how widely followed and held GBTC is,” Todd Rosenbluth, head of mutual funds and ETF research at CFRA, told MarketWatch.

He speculated that FactSet might have been preparing for the eventuality of a Grayscale Bitcoin ETF in its system.

“I’m not sure what happened but I could see FactSet setting this up with an effective date and then not removing it when the timing was too early,” he said.

That said, he estimates that GBTC converting to an ETF would be in 2022 “at the earliest” but the SEC may still be uneasy about spot bitcoin ETFs because it’s hard to protect against market manipulation and fraud when directly owning bitcoin.

But at least, Grayscale was an ETF for a day, at least on one platform.

Grayscale’s fund, which has been trading at a discount to bitcoin spot prices, as fund competition was seen increasing, is up 26% so far in 2021, underperforming bitcoin, which is up 74%. By comparison, the S&P 500
SPX,
-0.01%

was up nearly 25% in the year to date, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
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-0.20%

was trading up over 16% and the Nasdaq Composite Index
COMP,
+0.27%

was showing a year-to-date return of 22%.

Help Me Retire: We’re 58, have $1.3 million saved and two homes, but ‘I would give myself a grade of B-’ for retirement planning

Hello,

My wife and I are 58 years old. We have four grown children who are all on their own with good jobs. All of their undergrad college has been paid for. (One daughter has graduate school loans for her advanced degree that she is paying for.) We consider ourselves fortunate and own a house on a lake in Massachusetts along with a condo in Florida. In the early years of our marriage my wife stayed home with the kids. Retirement planning for both of us has been my responsibility. I would give myself a grade of B- with how I have done. We currently have $1.1 million in a 401(k), $150,000 in IRAs, $23,000 in an HSA, and $55,000 in an emergency fund. We each have a $250,000 life insurance policy with a long-term care rider in addition to a $400,000 term policy for me through work.

Our house has about $500,000 worth of equity and our condo is paid off and worth $450,000. We own both cars and our mortgage is our only outstanding loan. We have a balance of $210,000 and expect to pay this off before we are 65. 

I continually worry about when I can retire and running out of money during retirement. When we get together with friends and family, they always ask me when I am going to retire, and ask “you are not retired yet?”

I currently have a salary of about $200,000 and my wife works part time for some spending money. I don’t mind working currently, but at some point I would like to quit corporate life. I think we can live well on about $10,000 per month. 

I don’t feel like I can retire at this point and figure I have another 6 or 7 years before I can. How should I respond to friends and family thinking I should have retired by now?  

Thanks for listening,

Nervous Bill 

See: I’m 53, my wife is 54. Our $1.4 million retirement nest egg is 100% in equities and crypto. What should I do now for retirement?

Dear Nervous Bill, 

First of all, you definitely don’t deserve a B-. You have worked hard your whole life, you and your family are living comfortably and you’ve saved more than $1.3 million. That’s amazing. 

As for your friends and family asking questions, we’ll get to that later on. I’d like to start with some ways you can improve your future retirement security. 

You mention needing $10,000 or so per month. This is likely feasible, but you should look at how you plan to make up that amount every month, which sources you will derive this $10,000 from and if it takes into account all of the expenses you’ll need. Think about absolutely any expense you may have in retirement — not just housing, utilities, groceries and some recreational costs, but healthcare as well. Healthcare is one of the biggest bills Americans have in retirement — a couple retiring at age 65 can expect to spend $300,000 in retirement on healthcare alone, and that does not incorporate long-term care, which is also pretty expensive (think nursing home, renovating the home for aging in place, a health aide and so on). If you were to retire before 65, you’d need to account for health insurance before you become eligible for Medicare.

On top of all of the necessities, this is also a time for you to enjoy yourself, which may mean traveling, dining out or memberships to local sports or art institutions. Take into account inflation of prices for all of these things. 

“A major concern is variable expenses — the cost of a vehicle, cost of travel, the cost of clothing, electronics, food has all gone up massively,” said Dan Sudit, a partner of Crewe Advisors. You aren’t just thinking of the prices of today or five years from now, but also 10 and 20 years down the line, when you’ll still be in retirement. 

I will note that a financial planner can help you figure out what amount of money per month makes sense, as well as calculate inflation and investment returns to show you how your portfolio may be able to sustain your spending in retirement. 

As for your income in retirement, you’ll also have Social Security, as you know. But think long and hard before you start claiming. Taking benefits beginning at Full Retirement Age (also known as FRA) will give you 100% of the benefits you owe, whereas any time before will result in a permanent reduction of your full benefits. If you were to delay claiming from FRA up until age 70, you’d even get more money in your monthly checks. Make a list of all of the sources of income for retirement and start strategizing how you will take your monthly amount, with taxes and investment growth in mind. 

“Creating a distribution plan is very important when it comes to meeting and exceeding your retirement goals,” said Craig Ferrantino, founder and principal of Craig James Financial. 

While you’re still working, maximize your savings as best as you can, Ferrantino said. Reach the maximum contribution limit for a 401(k), which for Americans 50 and older will be $27,000. Do the same for an IRA, which is $7,000 for people 50 and older in 2022. 

“One misconception we see is that people believe they cannot contribute if they are maximizing their contributions to their 401(k), that is simply not true — you may not get the tax deduction but can most certainly still save for your retirement,” Ferrantino said.  

Your wife can also contribute to an IRA. Normally, an individual can only contribute what he has earned (so for example, if a 53-year-old only makes $3,000 this year, he can only contribute up to $3,000 in his IRA even if the contribution limit for a 53-year-old worker is $7,000). Because you earn more than that limit, however, she can contribute up to $7,000 for her own account under spousal IRA rules

Check out MarketWatch’s column “Retirement Hacks” for actionable pieces of advice for your own retirement savings journey 

It’s great you plan to have your mortgage paid off by age 65, but try balancing paying that debt off with saving for retirement. Yes, having the mortgage paid off is one less task to stress about, but you should be focused on maximizing your retirement savings during the last few years of your working years. If your mortgage is at a modest rate, and you have a few payments left into your retirement years, it’s a completely acceptable form of debt to take into retirement with you.

“So long as people have the economic wherewithal, there shouldn’t always be the compulsion to pay off a mortgage so long as it is embedded in your expenses,” Sudit said. It’s a fixed payment every month, so it won’t fluctuate. You wouldn’t want to bring “bad debt” into retirement with you, like credit card debt. 

Now for what to say to your family and friends. I understand this can be emotionally and mentally draining, but to be honest, it’s also none of their business whether you decide to keep working or not. If you’re happy at work, or you’re working because you want to keep saving money while you’re able, then all the power to you. 

“If you have expressed to family and friends you wish you were retired, it is still really none of their business but you can say ‘I will retire when the timing is right for my family and I and our future,’” Ferrantino said.  

And as for that grade you gave yourself… Sudit said you shouldn’t be so hard on yourself. He’d give you an A. 

Readers: Do you have suggestions for D? Add them in the comments below.

Have a question about your own retirement savings? Email us at HelpMeRetire@marketwatch.com

6 simple Warren Buffett tips to help retire rich

Legendary investor Warren Buffett is still working hard in his 90s despite having ample means for a comfortable retirement. Many investors in his position would be happy to reap the rewards of their investments and settle down into comfortable retirement. I know I would. Fortunately, following Buffett’s advice, I think it can be easier for me to achieve that. Here are seven straightforward tips from Buffett that I reckon could help me retire earlier.

1. Staying inside one’s circle of competence

Buffett repeatedly emphasises the importance of staying inside one’s circle of competence. In other words, he thinks investors ought not to stray from fields they understand, no matter how attractive the potential returns may seem. Buffett also emphasises that this is true even if one’s circle of competence is small. He said, “Know your circle of competence, and stick within it. The size of that circle is not very important; knowing its boundaries, however, is vital”.

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Why is this so important, in Buffett’s view? As the old proverb goes, “a fool and his money are soon parted”. That is true not just of (lowercase) fools, but also of smart people who do not know what they are doing. To make an investment, it is important to be able to weigh the risks and opportunities well. That relies on having the right knowledge and understanding to do so in the first place.

2. Keeping things simple

A common management mantra is “Keep things simple”. Buffett applies this to his investment decisions. From the types of companies in which he invests to the way he structures his investments, Buffett’s approach eschews complex high finance. Much of what he does is what an ordinary private investor might do, albeit on a larger scale. For example, Buffett decided he liked the business model and profit potential at Apple, so he bought shares in the company. Admittedly, Buffett’s stake of over $100bn is massive. But the process he went through, from decision making to buying ordinary shares on the stock market, is the same as millions of retail investors who own a bit of Apple.

Why is keeping things simple important in Buffett’s worldview? Basically, he emphasises that the work of an investor is to buy a share of a great company at a good price. To do so typically requires being able to form a clear view of the company and its industry. That’s harder to do when things aren’t simple, for example if the company uses esoteric accounting methods.

3. Honest self-assessment

A rising tide lifts all boats. That old saw applies to the stock market too. But, as Buffett says, when the tide goes out we gets to see who has been swimming naked.

For years there has been a bull market overall, albeit 2020 saw a reversal for a while. A common mistake investors make in bull markets is thinking they are better than they are. They attribute strong performance to their own share picking prowess, rather than recognising the benefit they have received from being in an overall bull market.

That can lead to a skewed assessment of our capabilities or risk tolerance as investors. Over the long term, that can hurt, not help, our retirement planning. The stock market is cyclical, so after a bull market there will usually be a bear market, which continues until at some stage in the future things get bullish again. The clearer we are about the real reasons for our investment performance, the easier it is to change that performance in future. It is no coincidence that Buffett is so open about his failures as well as his successes.

4. Playing the long game

The difference between a good investment and a great one is often simply time.

A share that goes up massively in short order after buying it is what many investors dream about. But in some cases, such dramatic price swings are closer to speculation than investment. Buffett tries to pick companies that he thinks have good long-term business prospects, then sits back and lets those prospects bear fruit over time.

As well as hopefully improving long-term investment returns, sticking with a few great performers can also reduce trading costs. It also cuts the amount of time spent following ups and downs in the market.

5. Warren Buffett has an investment theory

A lot of investors buy or sell shares based on the shares’ individual prospects. But they don’t develop an overall investment theory. By contrast, Warren Buffett has a clear conceptual model for how he approaches investment. From sticking to things he knows to looking at how wide a company’s competitive advantage or ‘moat is likely to be in the future, Buffett relies on a certain approach to investing. That informs his asset allocation decisions.

We don’t need to have the same theory about investing as Buffett to do as well as he has. But I think it’s helpful at least to have a theory. Starting with even a simple one is helpful. Based on our experience, it can be refined over time. That can provide discipline and force us to analyse what has worked best about our approach so far and why. Over the long term, such self-reflection will hopefully improve our investment performance.

6. Diversification

As shown by his Apple stake, when Buffett likes a company he is willing to go in on a large scale. So, why did Buffett scale back his Apple holding last year while still keeping most of it? Surely if he had turned negative, he could have sold the whole stake?

I think the answer is that Buffett is too smart an investor to put all his eggs in one basket. He recognises that a simple but powerful form of risk management for an investor is to diversify across different companies and business sectors. No matter how great one company’s performance has been or promises to be in future, events can always get in the way unexpectedly. Like Buffett, I make sure to spread my investments across multiple shares and lines of business to help reduce my risk if any one company underperforms. In the short term, that can mean I miss out on benefitting more from some great opportunities. But building a richer retirement is a marathon, not a sprint.

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Markets around the world are reeling from the coronavirus pandemic…

And with so many great companies still trading at what look to be ‘discount-bin’ prices, now could be the time for savvy investors to snap up some potential bargains.

But whether you’re a newbie investor or a seasoned pro, deciding which stocks to add to your shopping list can be a daunting prospect during such unprecedented times.

Fortunately, The Motley Fool is here to help: our UK Chief Investment Officer and his analyst team have short-listed five companies that they believe STILL boast significant long-term growth prospects despite the global lock-down…

You see, here at The Motley Fool we don’t believe “over-trading” is the right path to financial freedom in retirement; instead, we advocate buying and holding (for AT LEAST three to five years) 15 or more quality companies, with shareholder-focused management teams at the helm.

That’s why we’re sharing the names of all five of these companies in a special investing report that you can download today for FREE. If you’re 50 or over, we believe these stocks could be a great fit for any well-diversified portfolio, and that you can consider building a position in all five right away.

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Christopher Ruane has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Apple. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

1 FTSE 100 stock to buy now and hold for a long time!

Smurfit Kappa (LSE:SKG) is one FTSE 100 stock I would buy today and hold for a long time in my portfolio. Here’s why.

Market leader

Smurfit Kappa is Europe’s leading corrugated packaging company and one of the leading paper-based packaging firms on the planet. Packaging in all forms has been a staple for all industries for many years but in recent times there has been an e-commerce boom and the pandemic has exacerbated this too. Due to this, demand has increased. Firms like Smurfit are primed to benefit.

5 Stocks For Trying To Build Wealth After 50

Markets around the world are reeling from the coronavirus pandemic… and with so many great companies trading at what look to be ‘discount-bin’ prices, now could be the time for savvy investors to snap up some potential bargains.

But whether you’re a newbie investor or a seasoned pro, deciding which stocks to add to your shopping list can be a daunting prospect during such unprecedented times.

Fortunately, The Motley Fool UK analyst team have short-listed five companies that they believe STILL boast significant long-term growth prospects despite the global upheaval…

We’re sharing the names in a special FREE investing report that you can download today. And if you’re 50 or over, we believe these stocks could be a great fit for any well-diversified portfolio.

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As I write, shares in Smurfit are trading for 4,025p whereas a year ago shares were trading for 3,374p. This represents a 19% return over a 12-month period. It is worth noting that shares have comfortably surpassed pre-pandemic levels too.

Why I like Smurfit Kappa

Smurfit’s profile, offering, and reach are excellent. It is a world leader in its market and has a vast reach. It has 36 factories producing its packaging materials in countries across the world. In fact, it recently announced a new plant in Mexico. The Latin market could be key for it to continue growing, which could lead to increased performance and better returns. At current levels it looks attractively priced too. It sports a price-to-earnings ratio of 19. The FTSE 100 average is 20.

Next, Smurfit has a good track record of performance too. I understand the past is not a guarantee of the future however I like to use it as a gauge nevertheless. I can see revenue and gross profit increased year on year for three years prior to 2020, when levels dropped slightly due to the pandemic. Coming up to date, a trading statement in November for the first nine months of the year made for good reading too. Revenue increased by 15% compared to the same period last year. Overall, forecast full-year results are on target to be met.

Finally, the rise in environmental, social, and corporate governance (ESG) investing has shone a light on firms like Smurfit. It looks to adopt ESG practices and keep its business socially and environmentally friendly. This is a bonus for me personally as ESG investing is not high on my list of priorities. However, it is good to see Smurfit adopting practices in its operations such as recycling old materials and being environmentally friendly.

FTSE 100 stocks have risks too

Smurfit could experience performance issues due to the current macroeconomic pressures. Rising inflation and costs could hurt performance and any investor returns too. Costs passed on to customers could lead towards its customer turning to competitors, although they face similar headwinds too. Furthermore, the packaging market is competitive. Other FTSE 100 players include DS Smith and Mondi.

Despite the risks noted, I like Smurfit Kappa and would add the shares to my holdings at current levels. I believe it is currently attractively priced and performance seems to be on the up. Furthermore, it pays a dividend, which would make me a passive income.

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Jabran Khan has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

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