How to Find the Hidden Costs of Starting a Small Business

Monthly business applications averaged 430,000 nationwide in November, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. This marks the 11th consecutive month of numbers well above the 342,000 in December 2020. While starting a business is exciting, it can also be more challenging than expected. And because about a third of businesses with employees fail in the first two years, according to the Small Business Administration’s Office of Advocacy, it’s important to gain every advantage possible.

Knowing the cost of operating your business is vital. Engaging business experts and practicing due diligence can stop you from being blindsided by industry-specific costs such as customs broker services, music streaming licenses and more.

Commonly overlooked expenses

Rent, utilities and equipment are well-known business startup costs, but there are less obvious expenses that can be overlooked.

Licenses and permits

You may have to register your business in the state and city where it’s located. The fees you pay can vary and may depend on whether you plan to operate as a partnership, corporation, nonprofit or limited liability company.

For example, in New Jersey, a for-profit LLC will pay a fee of $125 to register, Tennessee requires a filing fee of $300 and San Diego charges all businesses operating within the city limits $34 for a Business Tax Certificate.

Additional licenses and permits may also be required based on business activities. For example, a business selling alcoholic beverages must meet the requirements of the Treasury Department’s Alcohol and Tobacco Tax and Trade Bureau along with state and local regulations, and a business operating an oversized vehicle will often need a state permit.

Business insurance

Most businesses will need multiple types of business insurance, such as general liability, professional liability, commercial auto and commercial property. Some coverage can be bundled into a business owner’s policy to save money.

When you run a business from your residence, a home-based business insurance rider may be needed to supplement your homeowners insurance policy. If you have employees, don’t overlook workers’ compensation insurance, which is required in most states.

Business software

You will typically pay a monthly fee for accounting, payroll and other business software. If you select a point-of-sale system to take customer payments, expect to pay a processing fee for each debit and credit card transaction. This expense can be significant if your business has a large volume of card transactions.

Social Security and Medicare taxes

When you work for yourself, you pay a self-employment tax rate of 15.3% on your net earnings. That’s 12.4% for Social Security and 2.9% for Medicare. If you have employees, that cost is split between the employee and employer. As the employer, you contribute 6.2% of employee wages for Social Security and 1.45% for Medicare. Federal and state unemployment taxes are other costs you may need to include in your budget.

Uncovering additional costs

Every business is unique and the expense of operating it can depend on the industry, location, size, sales channel and other factors. To learn about the specific costs associated with starting a business, you may have to rely on the experience of others and your own research.

Talk with an expert

The SBA is a great resource. You can get free business counseling through partner agencies — Small Business Development Centers, Women’s Business Centers and Veterans Business Outreach Centers. The business advisors at these centers can help identify lesser-known costs of starting a business, such as grand opening expenses, training for employees and certifications for managers.

“If you’ve never run a business before, you have a huge learning curve,” says Richard Sifuentes, director of the University of Texas at San Antonio Small Business Development Center. If a person lacks industry knowledge, Sifuentes suggests hiring someone as a manager or staff member with experience in the area or taking a job in the field for a short period of time.

“One of the biggest mistakes people make is not budgeting three to six months of working capital,” Sifuentes says. This reserve of funds can be used the first few months of operation before the revenue from sales is enough to cover costs. An additional amount could be added to this reserve to cover any unexpected expenses, Sifuentes says.

Due diligence

If you’re purchasing a business, acquiring existing inventory or accepting the transfer of a liquor license, you don’t want to be surprised by back taxes, liens or other liabilities. Thoroughly research a company before moving forward. Information can be found by a title company if real estate is involved or through online searches and public records.

“You don’t want to get in a position where you are purchasing a business and now you are responsible for something the previous owner neglected,” says Marlo Richardson, founder of Business Bullish, a free online resource for people interested in starting a business.

“Be patient. Don’t rush through the process,” she adds. “It’s a very exciting experience, but it can also be a loss of a lot of money. Just take your time and make sure you go through everything.”

Distributed Ledger: Why bitcoin may face another 20% plunge in coming weeks, as ‘risk is heightened,’ says prominent technical analyst: ‘We’re watching $37,000.’

Hello, there! I’m stepping in this week for MarketWatch’s crypto reporter Frances Yue.

I’ll walk you through the latest and greatest in digital assets this week so far, as we enter the week before an important meeting of the Federal Reserve and consider its possible impact on bitcoin and other crypto, if any. We’ll also talk about the whipsawing weekend that was and what to expect from here.

Send tips, or feedback, and find us on Twitter at @mdecambre or @FrancesYue_.

But most important, sign up here to get Distributed Ledger delivered fresh to your inbox weekly!

Crypto movers
Biggest Gainers

Price

% 7-day Return

Near Protocol (NEAR)

$9.24

12.42

Terra (LUNA)

$67.26

6.95

BitTorrent (BTT)

$0.003313

5.57

UNUS SED LEO (LEO)

$3.70

4.3

Huobi Token (HT)

$9.86

2.54

Source: CoinMarketCap.com of the top 100 as of Dec. 9

Biggest Decliners

Price

% 7-day Return

Kadena (KDA)

$10.48

-36.83

Qtum (QTUM)

$10.01

-33.26

THORChain (RUNE)

$7.13

-32.39

Fantom (FTM)

$1.45

-30.50

THETA (THETA)

$4.44

-30.26

Source: CoinMarketCap.com of the top 100 as of Dec. 9

After the crypto crash?

MarketWatch’s Distributed Ledger spoke to Katie Stockton, founder of technical analysis firm Fairfield Strategies, about the crash in crypto over the past weekend. The declines took bitcoin
BTCUSD
to around $42,000 and Ether
ETHUSD
on the Ethereum blockchain to around $3,500 before those digital assets bounced back.

Although Fairlead is fairly bullish long term, over the next six months or so, on the crypto sector, including bitcoin and Ether, Stockton said that some considerable damage had been done to the uptrend in the short to intermediate-term, based on her analysis.

A short-term breakdown in trend was confirmed on Sunday, when bitcoin failed to return to its recent support at $53,000 based on the September high and now that it is hanging well below that level—it was trading at $47,702 on CoinDesk, down 5.6%—another support level of $44,000 needs to be the next point to monitor, with the $37,000 serving as secondary technical support area.

“We feel that risk is heightened near term and even over the next two months or so,” Stockton said.

The popular analyst who uses chart models and gauges of momentum to forecast moves in assets from stocks to crypto said that she feels that the support level for bitcoin at $44,000 will likely be breached and the secondary support level, which defines the recent uptrend in bitcoin, will be a pivotal area for investors to watch in recent trade.

So is there cause to worry about another flash crash? Stockton says that it’s impossible to know for sure but believes that much of the tumble that took place in the wee hours of last Saturday are likely flushed out of the system since it was underpinned by unwinding in derivatives.

Certainly the bulls are hoping that is the case.

Crypto goes to Washington

MarketWatch’s Chris Matthews covered a highly anticipated testimony from some of the biggest names in crypto in front of Washington lawmakers.

Crypto execs, including those from popular digital-asset exchange Coinbase Global Inc.
COIN,
made the case that their technologies hold promise for the future, and that the growth of their more than $2 trillion industry shouldn’t be impeded by wrongheaded legislation.

The nascent industry is hoping to push Congress to create a new regulatory framework for digital assets that could help them avoid a costly showdown with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

“A successful policy framework would allow crypto platforms to offer both spot and derivatives trading on crypto assets under one unified system, with one rule book and one technology platform to manage risks related to all trading activity in customer accounts,” said Sam Bankman-Fried, CEO of FTX, told the House Financial Services Hearing on crypto markets.

Officials from Circle Internet Financial Ltd., issuer of a stablecoin crypto, bitcoin-mining firm Bitfury Group Ltd., cryptocurrency-payments system, Stellar Development Foundation, and blockchain firm Paxos Trust Co. also testified.

The Wall Street Journal reported that one of the main concerns among those lawmakers wary of crypto is that its rapid growth poses a threat to financial stability, is rife with fraud and manipulation, and isn’t environmentally friendly since mining virtual coins uses lots of real energy.

Crypto shares

In crypto-related company trading, shares of Coinbase Global Inc. traded down 9% to $287 Thursday afternoon. It was down 1.6% for the past five trading sessions. Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy Inc.
MSTR
 traded 6.4% lower on Thursday to $595.58, and was down 5.5% over the past five days.

Mining company Riot Blockchain Inc.
RIOT
shares fell 9.1% to $26, contributing to an 6.9% loss over the past five days. Shares of Marathon Digital Holdings Inc.
MARA
were down nearly 11% to 41.72, but were up 0.3% over the past five days. Another miner Ebang International Holdings Inc
EBON.
fell 7% to $1.33, but was up 2.4% over the past five days.

Overstock.com Inc
OSTK.
 traded down 3.6% to $78.57. The shares went down 2.6% over the five-session period.

Square Inc.’s shares
SQ
fell 4.1% to $186.85, paring its week-to-date gain to 3.1%. Tesla Inc.’s shares
TSLA
 traded down 5% to $1,015, trading flat for the week.

PayPal Holdings Inc.
PYPL
 fell 2.1% to $192.72, while it recorded a 4.8% gain over the five-session stretch. NVIDIA Corp.
NVDA
meanwhile, slumped 3% to $308.72, but was looking at a 0.6% advance over the past five days.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
AMD
 was off 4.3% to $139.04 and logged a 3.5% loss over the past five trading days, as of Thursday afternoon.

In the fund space, ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF
BITO
were 6.1% lower to $30.29 Thursday, and was down nearly 11% for the week thus far, while Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy ETF
BTF
was down 5.9%, with a week-to-date skid of nearly 11%. VanEck Bitcoin Strategy ETF
XBTF
fell 6.4% and was showing a nearly 11% weekly drop, as of Thursday afternoon.

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust
GBTC
 was trading to $37.44, off 7.1% late-afternoon Thursday, heading for a weekly loss of 10.5%.

Read: Grayscale Investment wants its largest bitcoin trust to be an ETF. A miscue briefly made its wish come true.

Must reads

The New York Post: State Department issues alert on travel to Mexican state Quintana Roo after jet ski shooting incident in Cancún

Tourists at a four-star resort in Cancún were forced to flee as gunmen on jet skis stormed the beach and opened fire.

The shooting Tuesday at the Oasis Palm resort is just the latest in a rash of gunplay in the region that had Mexican authorities last month deploy a 1,500-strong National Guard force.

In the latest incident, five men in military uniforms converged on a resort billed as family-friendly and fired about 20 shots, according to reports.

The unidentified gunmen fired into the air, then abandoned their jet skis, changed into civilian clothes and fled, police said.

“Luckily nobody got hurt, but it could have gone a different way,” U.S. tourist Zayne Jones told KUTV-News. “Just not a good feeling having your kids out here.”

The Margin (February 2021): Ted Cruz cuts his Cancún vacation short after leaving Texas in the cold

“We just ran and hit the deck,” said Andy Guyrich, a Minnesota tourist.

On Wednesday, the State Department issued an advisory warning American tourists to the popular Quintana Roo state, including Cancún, to “exercise extreme caution” when traveling in the region.

Last month, a gunfight on the beach between rival Mexican drug gangs sent tourists scrambling at the Hyatt Ziva Riviera in Cancún’s resort zone. Police said one tourist received minor injuries in that incident.

From the archives (November 2021): Two dead in apparent drug execution on luxury Cancún resort beach

Mexican authorities later created a “tourist battalion” of National Guard troops to protect Cancún and nearby resorts — a significant source of income for the country.

“This battalion will provide security to the entire tourist area,” National Defense Secretary Luis Cresencio Sandoval said when he announced the move.

A version of this report appeared at NYPost.com.

The Ratings Game: Apple’s stock rises toward another record, as Wedbush says no need to worry about supply issues

Shares of Apple gained ground Thursday toward yet another record, to buck the broad weakness in large-capitalization technology stocks, after Wedbush analyst Dan Ives said his analysis indicates demand for iPhones is currently outstripping supply.

Ives also said he believes Apple will introduce its “highly anticipated” augmented reality (AR) headset, Apple Glasses, next summer, which could add about $20 to the Cupertino, Calif.-based technology behemoth’s stock valuation.

He reiterated the outperform rating he’s had on Apple’s stock for at least the past three years, and kept his price target $200.

The stock
AAPL,
-0.13%

rose 0.3% in afternoon trading, putting it on track for a fourth-straight record close. It has gained 8.4% during the current streak.

Apple’s gains come despite a selloff in the larger-cap tech space, as the Nasdaq-100 Index
NDX,
-1.36%

slumped 1.0%. The tech-heavy index hasn’t reached a record since Nov. 19. The S&P 500 index’s
SPX,
-0.57%

last record close was on Nov. 18.

Japan-based business publication Nikkei reported earlier this week iPhone 13 production fell 20% short of targets in September and October. And in October, Bloomberg reported that Apple would cut production goals.

Wedbush’s Ives said that while various media reports have focused on supply shortages, his checks on Apple stores, supply chain data and iPhone order delays indicates iPhone demand continues to be much stronger than expected. And he believes it is this demand, rather than supply shortages, that will drive the stock going forward.

“The focus of the Street has been on the lingering chip shortage for Apple (and every other tech and automotive player), however, the underlying iPhone 13 demand story for Cupertino both domestically and in China is trending well ahead of Street expectations, in our opinion,” Ives wrote in a research note.


FactSet, MarketWatch

Not only does Ives believe that the chip issues some investors have worried about are “transitory,” he believes investors have underestimated the pent-up demand that will drive a “massive product cycle” that is playing out across the entire hardware ecosystem.

Ives also said Apple’s stock is outperforming the large-cap technology sector, because he believes the risk/reward for investors is still “very favorable” despite the recent strength, making the stock a sort of “safety blanket” tech name.

“To this point, we believe on a SOTP [sum-of-the-parts] valuation Apple is well on its way of being a $3 trillion market cap during 2022 (or sooner) as the Street catches up to this growth story,” Ives wrote.

Apple’s market cap was at about $2.88 trillion at recent stock prices. Based on 16.41 billion shares outstanding as of Oct. 15, a stock closing price at or above $182.86 would give Apple a $3 trillion market cap.

The stock has soared 38.1% over the past six months, while the Nasdaq-100 has gained 17.5% and the S&P 500 has advanced 11.0%.

IPO Report: Ex-Silicon Valley venture capitalist takes Brazilian digital bank Nu public at premium

Shares of Brazilian digital bank Nu Holdings Ltd. rose more than 15% in their stock market debut, some eight years after the company was founded by its current CEO and Sequoia Capital veteran David Vélez Osorno.

Nu
NU,
+13.39%
,
also known as Nubank, traded at $10.37 a share in afternoon action on the New York Stock Exchange, above its $9 price. Signs of healthy interest in the company came Wednesday when it priced at the top of its $8-$9 estimated price range.

Nu sold 289.15 million shares in the IPO for proceeds of $2.6 billion with lead underwriters Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and NuInvest. The latter underwriter is the company’s broker dealer in Brazil.

Nu Holdings was launched in 2013 by CEO David Vélez Osorno, 40, who is also founding shareholder and chairman of the company. He previously worked as a partner at Sequoia Capital in charge of the firm’s Latin American investment unit for about two years.

Osorno owns 992 million shares in Nu valued at about $10 billion, according to a filing.

He founded the company after trying to open a bank account in Brazil. “It was like going to prison,” he said in a 2020 interview with The Economist.

Sequoia Capital is a backer of Nu Holdings, with a roughly 23% stake in the company after the IPO. Sequoia managing partner Douglas Mauro Leone sits on Nu’s board.

With about 4.61 billion shares outstanding after the IPO and an open market price of $10.70 a share on Thursday afternoon, Nu Holdings has a market cap of about $49 billion. That’s about 39 times its revenue of $1.265 billion for the 12 months ending Sept. 30.

Nu posted a loss of $99.1 million for the nine months ending Sept. 30, and a loss of $171.5 million in 2020.

While it has not yet generated a profit, Nu has grown quickly. As of Sept. 30, it counted 48.1 million customers, up about nine times from 5.2 million as of Sept. 30, 2018.

In the three months ending Sept. 30, the company added more than 2 million net new customers in Brazil, Mexico and Columbia.

Tomi Kilgore and Clive McKeef contributed to this report.

Economic Report: U.S. household net worth increases in sixth straight quarter, Fed data show

The numbers: Total U.S. household net worth rose $2.4 trillion to $144.7 trillion in the third quarter, the Federal Reserve said in its Q3 flow of funds report, released on Thursday.

This is the sixth straight gain in net worth, which was boosted by government assistance during the pandemic. Household net worth stood at $116.8 trillion in the fourth quarter of 2019, prior to the onset of the coronavirus.

The value of real estate rose $1.4 trillion in the third quarter, while the value of corporate equities fell by $300 million.

What happened: On the liability side, household debt rose at a 6.2%  annual rate in the third quarter, down from a 7.8% rate in the prior quarter. Consumer credit rose at a 5.3% rate in the third quarter, while mortgage debt grew at a 7.8% rate.

Federal government debt fell at a 1.3% rate in the third quarter after jumping 9.6% in the prior quarter. Government debt soared 62.5% in the second quarter of 2020 as the government increased spending to battle the pandemic. 

Big picture: Economists are wondering how much money Americans salted away during the pandemic. The savings rate has fallen back to earth – just above 7% in the latest data through October –  after spiking above 30% during the pandemic. The U.S. economy is going to slow next year as government pandemic assistance fades away. Many economists are counting on Americans having enough savings to continue spending to pick up the slack.

Market reaction: The Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
+0.27%

was clinging to small gains near 35,800 on Thursday. That is up sharply from its 52-week low of 29,755.

Best Construction Insurance Companies

Construction professionals face various risks, from on-the-job injuries and equipment theft to timeline delays and customer lawsuits. Business insurance helps shield your company from the financial impact if something goes wrong on the job or at your shop.

The best construction insurance companies offer customizable policies so you can get the right coverage based on your trade, job types and company size. They also provide convenience, with the ability to get quotes and file claims quickly and on your schedule.

What’s the best fit for your business?

Answer a few questions and we’ll match you with an insurance partner who can help you secure quotes.

Top business insurance providers for construction companies

These insurance providers offer tailored coverage for construction businesses and have strong financial ratings from AM Best, a trusted credit rating agency focused on the insurance industry. Providers that do not have an AM Best rating were not considered for this list.

Erie: Best overall customer satisfaction

  • Rated among the top providers for overall customer satisfaction in J.D. Power’s 2021 U.S. small commercial insurance study.

  • Superior (A+) rating from AM Best.

  • Agents who speak multiple languages are available.

  • Coverage is available in only 12 states and Washington, D.C.

Why we like it: Erie’s contractors insurance includes general liability and commercial property insurance, but you can customize your policy with builders risk insurance, tools and equipment coverage, workers’ compensation and commercial auto (among other coverage), depending on your insurance needs. Quotes are available through local agents, and nonnative English speakers can search for agents who speak their preferred language. In addition, Erie has an A+ rating from the Better Business Bureau.

The Hartford: Best for construction-industry expertise

  • Business owner’s policy includes business income insurance.

  • Dedicated underwriters for construction businesses.

  • Risk engineering specialists can help your business minimize losses.

  • Excellent (A-) rating from AM Best.

  • Online quotes are available.

  • Below average customer satisfaction rating in J.D. Power’s 2021 U.S. small commercial insurance study.

  • Coverage is not available in Alaska, Hawaii or New Jersey.

Why we like it: The Hartford’s business owner’s policies include business interruption insurance, which helps cover expenses if property damage forces you to halt operations. This is not the standard for all business insurance providers. Furthermore, you can bundle coverage to include workers’ compensation, management liability and installation coverage, among other options. You can get a quote online, though all policies are sold through agents.

Nationwide: Best for customized coverage

  • Superior (A+) rating from AM Best.

  • Coverage options tailored to the construction industry, as well as risk-management services.

  • Online quotes are available.

  • Below average customer satisfaction rating in J.D. Power’s 2021 U.S. small commercial insurance study.

Why we like it: Nationwide offers specialized coverage for construction businesses, including inland marine insurance, builder’s risk coverage, and surety and fidelity bonds. You can start a quote online, over the phone or work directly with an agent. In addition, Nationwide has an A+ rating from the Better Business Bureau.

Next: Best for online quotes, claims

  • Excellent (A-) rating from AM Best.

  • Get a quote and purchase your policy entirely online.

  • Claims are often resolved within 48 hours.

  • Newer insurance company (founded in 2016).

  • Some specialty construction coverage is not available.

  • Coverage is not available in New York or Washington, DC.

Why we like it: Next is a relative newcomer in an industry full of established providers. Still, the company has already earned top marks from the Better Business Bureau (A+ rating) and AM Best (A- rating). With Next, you can handle your business insurance entirely online — from quotes to claims — or talk with an agent over the phone. Next offers general and professional liability coverage, workers’ compensation, commercial auto, and tools and equipment insurance. However, Next doesn’t offer specialty coverage, like builder’s risk or pollution liability insurance.

What types of insurance do construction companies need?

Type of insurance

What it pays for

Find a provider

Third-party claims of bodily injury or property damage. May be required by your city or state. Clients may also require proof of liability insurance.

Legal costs related to claims of mistakes or negligence, including breach of contract or missed deadlines.

The cost to replace structures and physical assets, such as tools or building materials, that are damaged due to fire, vandalism or other covered events. (Note: Can be combined with general liability insurance with a business owner’s policy.)

Expenses related to accidents, such as property damage and injuries, when driving a covered vehicle for business purposes.

Medical bills for employees and/or contractors who suffer a work-related illness or injury. Required in most states if you have at least one employee.

General contractors and construction companies may also need:

  • Builder’s risk insurance: Covers building under construction or renovation against damage or loss due to fire, weather, vandalism and other events.

  • Product liability insurance: Covers legal costs, settlements and medical bills resulting from a product’s faulty installation or repair.

How much does it cost to insure a construction company?

The overall average monthly cost for a business owner’s policy, according to 2020 data from Progressive, is $84, though construction companies might find that their rates vary significantly from this figure. For example, rates for a general contractor will be different from those of a roofer, electrician, plumber or mason.

Other factors that affect the cost of coverage include the size and scope of the projects you work on, where your business operates, how many employees you have and the number of vehicles you need to insure.

Get quotes from multiple insurance providers and compare coverage types and limits to find the best value for your construction business.

Commodities Corner: The tale of two metals: why copper and silver have taken split paths this year

Copper and silver markets have taken different paths this year, with a global economic recovery from the pandemic and tight supplies contributing to a third-straight year of gains for copper, but silver has failed to gain traction, and is on track to suffer its biggest yearly loss since 2014.

“Generally, when copper outperforms silver, it means expectations are very optimistic for the global economy,” says Decio Nascimento, chief investment officer at global macro hedge fund Norbury Partners. At the same time, “expectations of higher global growth, inflation, and real interest rates are all good reasons to move away from precious metals,” such as silver.

“Generally, when copper outperforms silver, it means expectations are very optimistic for the global economy.”


— Decio Nascimento, Norbury Partners

Economic growth expectations were moving higher this year, then eased around the middle of 2021, but tightness in copper markets has provided “excellent support,” he says. Over the first eight months of this year, the world refined-copper balance indicated an apparent deficit of about 107,000 metric tons, according to a report last month from the International Copper Study Group.

Copper has shifted into a “fundamental deficit because of strong Chinese consumption growth,” which comes on top of disruptions to copper mine production, says John Mothersole, director, research, pricing and purchasing at IHS Markit.

The emergence of the coronavirus delta variant meant that “ ‘friction’ in global supply chains lasted longer than previously expected,” he says. So, the recovery in copper mine production began only in July, and has been “relatively muted” so far. That’s expected to change in 2022, but the shortfall and slow recovery have provided support for prices over the past year.

IHS Markit expects copper consumption growth to slow to 3.6% in 2022 from 4.7% this year, mostly due to softness in China’s property development sector, says Mothersole. Refined production growth may increase more than 5% next year from less than 4% this year, he says.

Silver, meanwhile, has been “hurt by softness in key end markets, especially the jewelry market,” says Mothersole.

Year to date as of Dec. 8, copper futures are trading 
HGH22,
-1.52%

HG00,
-1.52%

nearly 25% higher, after touching an intraday high in May at $4.888 a pound, the highest intraday level on record, based on FactSet data. Silver
SIH22,
-1.79%

SI00,
-1.79%

has declined by 15%, outpacing an almost 6% fall in gold futures
GCG22,
-0.41%

GC00,
-0.41%
.

Silver has a much “smaller industrial metals component, and is mainly seen as a high beta version of gold,” so when gold falls, silver falls even more, says Norbury Partners’ Nascimento.

Silver’s industrial metals characteristics “won’t be relevant for the price in the near future,” he says, adding that the precious metal probably has not reached a bargain price level yet, with real interest rates likely to be higher next year. That would probably lead precious metals to underperform. Silver futures touched intraday lows this year under $22 an ounce in late September.

Silver supply is expected to grow in 2022, as current prices of $22 to $23 will “incentivize mine production,” says KC Chang, senior economist, nonferrous metals, pricing and purchasing at IHS Markit. Industrial demand, meanwhile, faces headwinds next year, he says.

IHS Markit forecasts an average silver price of $20 an ounce next year, as “less accommodative monetary policy and flat retail jewelry demand limit upward movement,” Chang says. Silver futures settled at $22.432 on Dec. 8.

Copper, meanwhile, looks to continue its price rise next year.

“Smart investors will recognize how tight the [copper] market is and will continue to be for the next few years,” and prices will move higher, Nascimento says.

For silver, the positive outlook for growth and inflation will drive real rates higher and dampen silver, as well as gold prices, he says.

How Purchase Plans and Pay Advances Could Change in 2022

It’s been a big year for nontraditional financing options like “buy now, pay later” and cash advance apps.

Buy now, pay later companies offer at-checkout financing that lets shoppers split the cost of a purchase into multiple smaller payments. Paycheck advances are offered by employers or apps and give consumers access to their expected earnings before payday.

Both financing plans provide quick money for cash-strapped consumers, and both have gained popularity in the last few years, especially as the pandemic threw finances into disarray.

As their usage skyrockets, competitors and regulators have taken notice. Here’s how these emerging financing options could change in 2022.

Banks build a BNPL presence

BNPL is expected to account for 6% of all U.S. dollars spent online this year, according to a September study conducted by consulting firm Accenture and commissioned by BNPL company Afterpay. By 2025, that number is projected to be 13%.

Right now, the BNPL market is dominated by apps like Afterpay and Affirm, as well as some credit card companies. In the coming year, big banks may come out with BNPL options of their own, says Ruby Walia, senior advisor for digital banking at digital consulting firm Mobiquity.

“Banks don’t really want to give up business to the fintech players,” he says. “If they can offer their own bank-branded BNPL service to customers, they will at some point do that.”

Banks may offer a co-branded BNPL service with a retailer, similar to the co-branded credit cards some already have, he says. Or they could copy credit cards’ take on BNPL and let customers split debit card purchases into smaller payments after the purchase.

Competition likely for popular paycheck advances

Businesses partner with companies like DailyPay to let workers dip into their expected earnings early. Consumers can also download a cash advance app like Earnin or Dave that reviews your bank account or tracks your hours worked to determine how much you’re paid and when, so you can access part of that amount and repay it on your next payday.

In 2020, workers used a paycheck advance service almost 56 million times to access a total of $9.5 billion, according to a study from research and advisory firm Aite-Novarica Group. That’s up from 37.2 million uses totaling $6.3 billion in 2019.

Where there’s demand, competition follows. Innovation is expected in the ever-changing financial technology industry, says Brian Tate, CEO and president of the Innovative Payments Association, which advocates for the electronic payments sector. He says he welcomes newcomers.

“Where we are today is completely different from where we were five years ago or even three years ago,” he says. “Our hope is that there’s more competition, more providers, and I think that’s a benefit to the customer.”

Regulations on the horizon

Lawmakers and regulators have considered what rules should govern BNPL and paycheck advance companies in recent years. In November, the House Committee on Financial Services held a hearing on emerging fintech companies to discuss the benefits and drawbacks of both types of financing.

Consumer advocates say BNPL companies and cash advance services provide credit and should have the same consumer protections as credit card issuers and personal loan lenders.

“Our view has always been for both of these products that these are loans. Someone is loaning you money and you’re paying it back at a later date,” says Rachel Gittleman, financial services outreach manager with Consumer Federation of America, a consumer advocacy group.

But advocates for new financial products say that too many regulations could stifle innovation.

“No matter what product you’re talking about, these are new products,” Tate says. “They’re not the same products in concept that people may be familiar with.”

Paycheck advances may not have regulators’ attention right now, but they could in the coming years, he says.

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau issued an advisory opinion in 2020 that some advances offered through an employer aren’t considered credit under the Truth in Lending Act, which governs most types of consumer credit. Shortly after Rohit Chopra was confirmed earlier this year as the new CFPB director, consumer groups sent a letter urging him to rescind the opinion.

How to approach these financing options

A lack of regulations and a flood of new products means it’s on the consumer to research, compare options and plan before using a new financial product.

Here are a few tips to keep you on track when you try out a new type of financing:

  • Do your research. No two BNPL companies or paycheck advance services have the same fees or terms, so read about the company to understand the pros and cons, says Illinois-based certified financial planner Maggie Klokkenga.

  • Know your budget. Whether you’re adding a few small installment loans or taking some of your paycheck early, it’ll affect your budget. Knowing when you have to repay and how much will be there at the time can help you avoid overdrawing.

  • Track your usage. New services like BNPL and paycheck advances can be used safely if you’re expecting the repayment. Keep track of how many BNPL services you use, or how many outstanding advances you have, to prevent missed payments and late fees.

Key Words: Hillary Clinton reads the 2016 presidential victory speech she never got to give

“I’m going to face one of my most public defeats head-on.”


— Hillary Clinton

That’s from former Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton, who reads a portion of the victory speech that she had planned to give on election night in 2016 during her new MasterClass lesson.

MasterClass, an online education subscription platform that often features high-profile experts in various industries sharing their expertise, brought Clinton on to teach a class titled “Power of Resilience.” And a preview video released by the “Today” show on Thursday reveals Clinton recounting her loss to Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election — although she doesn’t mention the former president by name.

“In this lesson, I’m going to face one of my most public defeats head-on by sharing with you the speech I had hoped to deliver if I had won the 2016 election,” Clinton says. And she begins: “My fellow Americans, today you sent a message to the whole world. Our values endure. Our democracy stands strong. And our motto remains: e pluribus unum. Out of many, one,.”

“Today, with your children on your shoulders, your neighbors at your side, friends old and new standing as one, you renewed our democracy,” she continues. “And because of the honor you have given me, you have changed its face forever. I’ve met women who were born before women had the right to vote. They’ve been waiting a hundred years for tonight.”

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Indeed, her shelved victory speech highlights what would have been a historic moment in U.S. history: the election of the first female president. “I’ve met little boys and girls who didn’t understand why a woman has never been president before,” she says. “Now they know, and the world knows, that in America, every boy and every girl can grow up to be whatever they dream — even president of the United States.”

“This is a victory for all Americans. Men and women. Boys and girls,” she continues. “Because as our country has proven once again, when there are no ceilings, the sky’s the limit.”

Clinton also shares her wish to be able to tell her late mother about her victory, which makes her visibly emotional; she pauses several times, before getting choked up in describing the hardships her mother went through.

“I dream of going up to her, and sitting down next to her, taking her into my arms, and saying, ‘Look at me. Listen to me. You will survive. You will have a good family of your own. And three children. And as hard as it might be to imagine, your daughter will grow up and become the president of the United States.’”

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Clinton continues, “I am sure of this as anything I have ever known: America is the greatest country in the world. And from tonight going forward, together, we will make America even greater than it has ever been, for each and every one of us. Thank you, God bless you, and may God bless America.”

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