: Fed has to start hiking rates steadily early next year to combat inflation, former official says

The Federal Reserve must act quickly and aggressively to address rising inflation, said former Minneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota on Tuesday.

Specifically, the Fed should launch “meeting-by-meeting” interest rate increases in January-June and “keep going until inflation comes back down near 2%,” Kocherlakota said in a Bloomberg opinion piece.

The steep monetary policy tightening could take short-term rates well above the 2.5% level that Fed officials consider to be neutral, he noted.

Analysts think the Fed is planning to raise interest rates at a much more gradual pace – only getting short-term rates up to 2.5% by the end of 2024.

See: 5 things to watch from Fed meeting

Kocherlakota, who became a leading policy dove on the central bank during his tenure, said the currently expected passive pace of tightening will risk a repeat of the Great Inflation of the 1970s.

In his essay, Kocherlakota said the rapid shift in inflation this year has an historical parallel that occurred at the beginning of 1965 when inflation rose rapidly after the escalation of the Vietnam War and fostered an inflationary psychology.

Read: Americans expect higher inflation

“For years, the Fed failed to respond aggressively enough to this self-reinforcing upward spiral,” he said. As a result, only by subjecting the U.S. to a brutal recession with double-digits unemployment in the late 1970s was the Fed ultimately able to bring price rises back under control, he noted.

UK tech stocks: 3 of my top picks for 2022 and beyond

Tech stocks offer some of the best value for money on the market, in my view. With low overheads in comparison to other businesses, they can become money printing machines. Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Facebook are some of the most highly valued companies on the stock market. But this means investors have already found their value. Lots of investors, including Charlie Munger, are looking to Chinese counterparts in the hope that history will repeat itself.

But I think we have some excellent tech companies right here in the UK.

5 Stocks For Trying To Build Wealth After 50

Markets around the world are reeling from the coronavirus pandemic… and with so many great companies trading at what look to be ‘discount-bin’ prices, now could be the time for savvy investors to snap up some potential bargains.

But whether you’re a newbie investor or a seasoned pro, deciding which stocks to add to your shopping list can be a daunting prospect during such unprecedented times.

Fortunately, The Motley Fool UK analyst team have short-listed five companies that they believe STILL boast significant long-term growth prospects despite the global upheaval…

We’re sharing the names in a special FREE investing report that you can download today. And if you’re 50 or over, we believe these stocks could be a great fit for any well-diversified portfolio.

Click here to claim your free copy now!

Frictionless transfers

Wise (LSE: WISE) is a company that facilitates money transfers and currency exchanges in near real time. This tech company just went public earlier this year and exploded in value, reaching a high of 1,140p in September. But the share price has, in recent months, been seeing a consistent downtrend and has fallen to 762p. This is to be expected as the market tries to determine the true value of the company.

Wise has increased revenue year on year, but has so far kept profit margins small as it continues to expand its operations. I do think that reduced travel over the next few months could push the share price down further. But revenue actually increased over the pandemic months, which tells me there is demand for this service regardless of how many people go on holiday. I’ll definitely be adding it to my portfolio.

Public sector systems

Idox Group (LSE: IDOX) builds software and data collection programmes for clients across the UK. Its largest customer base is the public sector as councils and government agencies use systems Idox designs to help with collecting and organizing important data. Just this week the Scottish Council of Comhairle nan Eilean Siar began using an Idox software programme to help organize its building and planning permissions data.

Idox currently operates with a very small profit margin and if anything goes wrong this could upset the company’s outlook.

But, once a computer system becomes entrenched in a company or institution and all of its employees learn to rely upon it, then it often becomes very difficult to remove. If this happens then I think the sky’s the limit for Idox.

Idox currently trades for a very low 69p and I’ll be adding it to my portfolio shortly.

Cyber security tech

Darktrace (LSE: DARK) has been in the headlines a lot this year. Like Wise, it exploded into value and rushed all the way up to the FTSE 100 in just a few months. But also like Wise it has seen a big fall in value as insiders sell off their shares and it has failed to grow fast enough to justify the high price.

Despite this, Darktrace has been growing. Revenues are up and expected to continue this way over the next few years. I definitely think that the share’s all-time high of 945p was unrealistic, but the current price of 397p is more reasonable. There could still be further downward inertia as shareholders lose their nerve, but the business remains strong, offering a high-quality product on a subscription model. I’ll be adding it to my portfolio but don’t expect to see it pay off for several years.


James Reynolds has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

3 UK passive income stocks to buy today under £2

Cheap UK stocks are a popular choice for many investors, especially when they come with a sizeable dividend yield to generate a passive income. After all, the lower the price, the more potential room for growth over the long term.

With that in mind, I’ve spotted three companies that meet this description. And with strong tailwinds in their respective industries, I’m quite tempted to add these UK stocks to my portfolio today. Let’s explore.

5 Stocks For Trying To Build Wealth After 50

Markets around the world are reeling from the coronavirus pandemic… and with so many great companies trading at what look to be ‘discount-bin’ prices, now could be the time for savvy investors to snap up some potential bargains.

But whether you’re a newbie investor or a seasoned pro, deciding which stocks to add to your shopping list can be a daunting prospect during such unprecedented times.

Fortunately, The Motley Fool UK analyst team have short-listed five companies that they believe STILL boast significant long-term growth prospects despite the global upheaval…

We’re sharing the names in a special FREE investing report that you can download today. And if you’re 50 or over, we believe these stocks could be a great fit for any well-diversified portfolio.

Click here to claim your free copy now!

A top UK mining stock that doesn’t do any mining

The mining industry is hardly a simple area to operate in. Apart from needing all the engineering and ecological expertise, finding, developing, and extracting resources from the ground is fraught with uncertainty. That’s what makes Anglo Pacific (LSE:APF) so interesting to me.

The firm doesn’t engage in any of the typical mining activities. It instead simply provides funding for other leading businesses, like Rio Tinto, to establish a mining site. In exchange for this financial support, they receive a portion of extracted materials as a royalty payment.

That still means the company is exposed to the risk of fluctuating commodity prices. However, it doesn’t have to contend with the extensive risks associated with exploration.

Today this UK stock trades at 131p and offers a chunky 6.6% dividend yield. And after recently adding cobalt to its mineral portfolio, the firm looks primed to continue delivering a large passive income thanks to surging demand for electric vehicle batteries.

Generating a passive income with wind

With global warming becoming an increasing problem, the shift towards renewable energy sources has been accelerated. And with the technology becoming cheaper and more reliable, Greencoat UK Wind (LSE:UKW) is enjoying some favourable tailwinds.

The company owns both on- and offshore wind farms across the UK, generating revenue by selling green electricity. Electricity prices are limited by regulators meaning this stock has no pricing power. That obviously exposes its profit margins to the risk of being squeezed, as operating expenses are primarily fixed.

However, at today’s price of 136p, shareholders are enjoying a 5.25% dividend yield. And with inflation pushing utility prices up, the firm seems to be in a powerful position to reap greater profits in 2022.

Solving the e-commerce storage problem

After the pandemic forced many non-essential stores to close their doors, consumers turned to online shopping for their retail therapy. So, it’s not surprising that the level of investment in retailer e-commerce solutions has suddenly surged.

Unfortunately, that created a bit of a problem. There is only so much warehousing space in ideal locations available. As such, the rental cost per square foot is climbing quite rapidly. And while that’s horrible news for retailers, it’s music to the ears of Warehouse REIT (LSE:WHR).

The firm buys, refurbishes, and rents previously dilapidated warehouses to online businesses – returning the profits to shareholders through dividends. At today’s share price of 169p, the UK stock yields a 3.7% passive income for investors.

Of course, the commercial property sector is filled with competition that could drive up future property acquisition prices through bidding wars. Should management start overpaying for new locations, it could compromise the dividend stream in the future. But for now, Warehouse REIT seems to be ready to thrive in 2022 and beyond. At least, that’s what I think.

But these are not the only cheap UK stocks on my radar today. Here is another growth opportunity that could be even more lucrative…

FREE REPORT: Why this £5 stock could be set to surge

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And the performance of this company really is stunning.

In 2019, it returned £150million to shareholders through buybacks and dividends.

We believe its financial position is about as solid as anything we’ve seen.

  • Since 2016, annual revenues increased 31%
  • In March 2020, one of its senior directors LOADED UP on 25,000 shares – a position worth £90,259
  • Operating cash flow is up 47%. (Even its operating margins are rising every year!)

Quite simply, we believe it’s a fantastic Foolish growth pick.

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Zaven Boyrazian owns Anglo Pacific. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Anglo Pacific, Greencoat UK Wind, and Warehouse REIT. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

London Markets: IMF warns Bank of England against ‘inaction’ on interest rates

Two days ahead of a Bank of England meeting, the International Monetary Fund on Tuesday called on the central bank to withdraw its exceptional support for the economy, though it left open the question as to timing.

The IMF call came as part of the preliminary findings of its staff at the end of a periodic official visit. The so-called Article IV mission said economic growth will remain strong in the near term, but so will price pressures. It’s estimating 5% growth next year, and inflation peaking at 5.5% in the spring.

The IMF said early action by the Bank of England could slow the recovery, but inaction could allow the second-round effects of inflation to proliferate.

The Bank of England on Thursday is widely seen postponing an interest-rate hike until February, giving it more time to assess the impact of the omicron variant of coronavirus. The Bank of England in November surprised markets by not increasing interest rates from the current 0.1% level.

Meanwhile, the FTSE 100
UKX,
+0.35%

rose 0.4% in midday trade to 7259.77.

Ocado Group
OCDO,
+9.87%

shares jumped 9%, after winning an intellectual property case in the U.S. against AutoStore
AUTO,
-13.42%

over robotics technology used in distribution centers. Separately, Ocado’s U.K. venture with Marks & Spencer
MKS,
-2.18%

reported a 3.9% decline in revenue in the Nov. 28-ending quarter, and forecast mid-teens sales growth next year, driven by rollout of new capacity. Ocado said it was just speculation that M&S would increase its 50% stake in the venture.

Rentokil Initial
RTO,
-9.45%

shares stumbled 8% after agreeing to buy U.S. rival Terminix
TMX,
-0.19%

in a $7 billion cash-and-stock deal.

BT
BT.A,
-4.58%

shares dropped 5% after Altice Group owner Patrick Drahi disclosed he increased his stake to 18% from 12.1%. He stated he doesn’t intend to make an offer, which means he can’t do so for another six months unless another company launches an offer, or the BT board recommends it.

Economic Report: The most small businesses since 1978 raised prices in November due to high inflation

The National Federation of Independent Business said a net 59% of small-business owners increased prices of good and services last month. That was the highest figure since 1978.

Small and large businesses alike are coping with major shortages of labor and business supplies that emerged during the pandemic. They are paying higher wages and material costs and passing them along to their customers.

The cost of living jumped again in November and pushed the rate of U.S. inflation to a 39-year high of 6.8%.

Finding qualified workers is one of the biggest hurdle of small businesses. A record number say they have boosted wages and benefits, but they still can’t find enough people to hire.

The ongoing shortages have dimmed the hopes of small-business owners. The NFIB’s small business optimism index edged up 0.2 percentage points to 98.4 in November, but it’s still depressed and well below its recent midsummer peak.

“Owners are also pessimistic as many continue managing challenges like rampant inflation and supply chain disruptions that are impacting their businesses right now,” said NFIB chief economist Bill Dunkelberg.

The share of small-business owners expecting an improvement in the next six months has declined sharply in the last four months, suggesting they don’t expect much improvement anytime soon.

Economic Report: U.S. wholesale inflation shoots up again and shows little relief in sight

The numbers: Wholesale U.S. prices rose rapidly in November and signaled that inflation is likely to remain high well into 2022.

The producer price index climbed 0.8% last month, the government said Tuesday. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.5% advance.

The increase in wholesale prices in the past year rose to 9.6% in November from 8.8% in the prior month, marking one of the highest levels in decades.

Companies have largely passed on higher costs to business customers and consumers. The consumer price index, for instance, rose sharply again last month to push the increase in the cost of living to the fastest rate in 39 years.

A separate measure of wholesale inflation that strips out the most volatile goods and services rose a bit less in November. The so-called core rate climbed 0.7%.

Big picture: High inflation isn’t going away soon.

A combination of labor shortages and trouble obtaining business supplies has forced businesses to raise prices. They can’t get enough of either to produce all the goods and services customers want.

These shortages are expected to ease in 2022, especially if the pandemic finally begins to fade, and result in lower inflation. Yet how much inflation slows — and how quickly — is still far from certain.

Worried about rising prices, the Federal Reserve plans to phase out stimulus for the economy much sooner than it had planned. The central bank is expected to detail its plans on Wednesday.

Market reaction: The Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
-0.89%

and S&P 500
SPX,
-0.91%

were set to open slightly lower in Tuesday trades.

Tesla’s share price just fell under $1,000! Should I buy the stock now?

The Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) share price has had a bit of a bumpy ride over the past month. In fact, since the start of November, the US stock has fallen by around 20%. While the 12-month return is still an impressive 51%, it does beg a simple question. Now that Tesla is trading below $1,000, is it a buying opportunity for my portfolio? Let’s take a closer look.

A thriving electric vehicle business

Despite what the falling Tesla share price would suggest, the company continues to storm ahead. Fuel shortages and rising oil prices further increase consumer interest in owning an electric vehicle. Meanwhile, improvements in battery technology have drastically improved the range capabilities. And businesses seeking to lower their carbon footprint are starting to upgrade their vehicles fleets.

5 Stocks For Trying To Build Wealth After 50

Markets around the world are reeling from the coronavirus pandemic… and with so many great companies trading at what look to be ‘discount-bin’ prices, now could be the time for savvy investors to snap up some potential bargains.

But whether you’re a newbie investor or a seasoned pro, deciding which stocks to add to your shopping list can be a daunting prospect during such unprecedented times.

Fortunately, The Motley Fool UK analyst team have short-listed five companies that they believe STILL boast significant long-term growth prospects despite the global upheaval…

We’re sharing the names in a special FREE investing report that you can download today. And if you’re 50 or over, we believe these stocks could be a great fit for any well-diversified portfolio.

Click here to claim your free copy now!

This has created quite a favourable environment for Tesla to thrive in. And looking at its latest third-quarter earnings, revenues continue to grow at impressive double-digit rates. Moreover, thanks to improvements in operational activities, profit margins are also getting wider.

Needless to say, this is all quite positive. And it seems to be the primary driver behind Tesla’s impressive share price momentum since the start of 2020. But if that’s the case, then why is the stock falling now?

Is Tesla’s share price too high?

With a CEO as influential as Elon Musk, it’s easy to understand how investors could be getting a bit too excited. As such, the valuation has reached some pretty absurd levels, with enormous expectations built into it. Even after the recent tumble, the stock still trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of over 300. And while the group may not be optimised for profits at the moment, its price-to-sales ratio still stands at a lofty 19 times.

While some investors may passionately disagree with that conclusion, it seems management doesn’t. Several board members have begun selling off some of their shares in multi-million-dollar deals. That includes Musk, who sold $8.8bn of Tesla shares in November. And just yesterday, he sold a further $906.5m of his stake in the business.

Generally, seeing insiders sell this much stock indicates they believe the shares are overvalued. But now that the price has fallen, should I consider adding this business to my portfolio?

Time to buy?

All things considered, Tesla continues to impress me with its progress over the years. However, even after the recent 20% drop, I still believe the Tesla share price is being inflated by over-optimistic investors.

Therefore, if the company starts to show any sign of a slowdown or potential weakness, the share price could be in for some serious volatility. Personally, I’m not interested in adding that risk to my portfolio. So, I’ll be keeping this company on my watchlist until a better price emerges.

Fortunately, I’ve spotted another US stock that I think could be a future trillion-dollar business like Tesla once was…

“This Stock Could Be Like Buying Amazon in 1997”

I’m sure you’ll agree that’s quite the statement from Motley Fool Co-Founder Tom Gardner.

But since our US analyst team first recommended shares in this unique tech stock back in 2016, the value has soared.

What’s more, we firmly believe there’s still plenty of upside in its future. In fact, even throughout the current coronavirus crisis, its performance has been beating Wall St expectations.

And right now, we’re giving you a chance to discover exactly what has got our analysts all fired up about this niche industry phenomenon, in our FREE special report, A Top US Share From The Motley Fool.

Click here to claim your copy now — and we’ll tell you the name of this Top US Share… free of charge!


Zaven Boyrazian has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Metals Stocks: Gold drifts lower in rangebound trade ahead of Fed, producer inflation report

Gold futures were trading lower Tuesday morning, pulling back from a three-week high, as investors braced for central bank meetings this week, headlined by the gathering of the Federal Reserve which could catalyze moves in precious metals.

February gold 
GCF22,
-0.59%

GC00,
-0.59%

fell $4.30, or 0.2%, to reach $1,784.30 an ounce on Comex, following a 0.2% gain for the yellow metal, which marked the highest settlement for a most-active contract since Nov. 22, FactSet data show.

The Fed will kick off its two-day, monetary-policy meeting later Tuesday and Chairman Jerome Powell said last month that the bank needed to shift its focus toward preventing rising inflation which has reached its highest level since 1982, by at least one measure.

See: 5 things to watch for when the Federal Reserve announces its policy decision Wednesday

Investors Tuesday will also parse a fresh reading of U.S. producer price inflation, with November data due at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time.

Meanwhile, March silver 
SIH22,
-1.78%

was trading 21 cents, or 1%, lower at $22.12 an ounce, after climbing 0.6% on Monday.

Darktrace’s share price just dropped under 400p. Should I buy the stock now?

The Darktrace (LSE:DARK) share price hasn’t had the best run recently. In fact, since late October, the stock is down nearly 60%, falling to 393p today. That’s still higher than its April IPO closing price of 330p. But it does raise the question: after rising so high, why did it later collapse? And is this actually a buying opportunity for my portfolio? Let’s investigate what’s going on.

A future king in cybersecurity?

With the world becoming more dependent on technologies like cloud computing, it’s not surprising that the number of cyberattacks is on the rise. While that’s undoubtedly horrible news for most businesses and consumers, it has created a favourable environment for the cybersecurity industry. After all, the more threats, the more demand for such services.

5 Stocks For Trying To Build Wealth After 50

Markets around the world are reeling from the coronavirus pandemic… and with so many great companies trading at what look to be ‘discount-bin’ prices, now could be the time for savvy investors to snap up some potential bargains.

But whether you’re a newbie investor or a seasoned pro, deciding which stocks to add to your shopping list can be a daunting prospect during such unprecedented times.

Fortunately, The Motley Fool UK analyst team have short-listed five companies that they believe STILL boast significant long-term growth prospects despite the global upheaval…

We’re sharing the names in a special FREE investing report that you can download today. And if you’re 50 or over, we believe these stocks could be a great fit for any well-diversified portfolio.

Click here to claim your free copy now!

Darktrace is a relatively new entrant to the sector. But it came in guns blazing with its AI-based platform. Using machine learning, this system automatically evolves each time it encounters a new threat. Once it understands how a piece of malware operates, it should quarantine the infected files and prevent any damage or exposure to sensitive data. In simple terms, it should behave like a self-teaching immune system for computers.

Looking at the figures published in its latest Annual General Meeting statement, this technology is proving to be popular. The firm now serves over 5,900 customers, 86% of them using two or more of its products. Consequently, revenue in its 2021 fiscal year (June to June) grew 41%, pushing its annualised revenue growth rate since 2018 to a staggering 51%.

Needless to say, that’s a lot of growth. And yet the Darktrace share price seems to disagree, given its downward trajectory. So, what’s going on?

The Darktrace share price versus uncertainty

There are undoubtedly numerous factors influencing the share price. However, the problems first started emerging after an analyst at the investment bank Peel Hunt released a pretty scathing report.

It claimed that the technology might not be as good as described on paper. In fact, the report stated that some customers described the AI-driven platform in negative terms. This could explain why the churn rate increased in FY21, with 7.7% of Darktrace clients deciding to terminate their relationship.

This is actually a risk I highlighted back in September. And combining bad news with Darktrace’s sky-high valuation is a recipe for a collapsing share price. But Peel Hunt placed its target at 473p. That’s around 20% higher than where the stock is trading today. Does this mean now is the time to buy?

Time to buy?

Today’s share price places Darktrace’s market capitalisation at around £2.7bn. That puts its price-to-sales ratio at approximately 12.7. This is certainly not cheap, but far more reasonable than previous levels. However, while this may be a buying opportunity, I’m concerned by comments surrounding its technology. After all, cybersecurity businesses live and die by their ability to protect customers’ data and systems.

If the company can’t meet the security requirements of its customers, then maintaining its current growth rates will be challenging over the long term. The future could be bright for the firm, but  I’m going to wait and see how Darktrace performs as we enter 2022 and won’t be buying for now.


Zaven Boyrazian has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

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